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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
St. Polten
S T S T S
0–1
Full-time
Tirol
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 5
6 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St. Polten 4. · Tirol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 6 6 0 0 +20 18
2 SK Rapid 6 5 1 0 +10 16
3 LASK 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 St. Polten 6 3 1 2 +6 10
5 Sturm Graz 6 2 3 1 +4 9
6 Austria Vienna 6 2 1 3 -1 7
7 Wolfsberger AC 6 2 0 4 -3 6
8 Hartberg 6 1 3 2 -7 6
9 Tirol 6 1 2 3 -6 5
10 Altach 6 1 1 4 -9 4
11 Admira 6 1 1 4 -10 4
12 Ried 6 1 0 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Polten Tirol
31′
F. Rieder 0–1
F. Koch
42′
🟨 Žan Rogelj
Half-time 0–1
M. Steinwender 🔁
↦ D. Schütz
46′
Christoph Riegler 🟨
49′
55′
🟨 David Schnegg
59′
🟨 Žan Rogelj
59′
🟥 Žan Rogelj
62′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ Z. Dedič
64′
🟨 David Gugganig
N. Meister 🔁
↦ G. Davies
66′
71′
🔁 T. Anselm
↦ K. Yeboah
71′
🔁 R. Smith
↦ F. Rieder
C. Halper 🔁
↦ D. Drescher
79′
Manuel Maranda 🟨
85′
Michael Steinwender 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St. Polten

4-3-3
1 C. Riegler G
29 D. Drescher D
21 K. Schulz D
14 M. Blauensteiner D
5 M. Maranda D
20 D. Schütz M
24 L. Grozurek F
11 G. Davies F
6 P. Pokorný M
39 R. Ljubičić M
19 D. Hugi F
Bench (7)
4 M. Steinwender
7 N. Meister
22 C. Halper
12 M. Tanzmayr
38 C. Messerer
13 A. Gremsl
18 E. Metu

Coach: R. Ibertsberger

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
4 D. Gugganig D
30 R. Behounek D
43 N. Celic M
28 D. Schnegg D
6 T. Petsos M
16 F. Rieder M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
22 Z. Dedič F
27 K. Yeboah F
Bench (7)
17 J. Naschberger
20 T. Anselm
8 R. Smith
13 B. Ozegovic
7 B. Pranter
26 F. Buchacher
9 N. Frederiksen

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.