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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
St. Polten
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Tirol
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 20%
18%
21%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
64%
54%
Both score Ø 48%
39%
57%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
2,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match St. Polten 12. · Tirol 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 28 18 8 2 +62 62
2 LASK 28 19 4 5 +32 61
3 SK Rapid 28 15 7 6 +25 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 28 12 8 8 +21 44
5 Austria Vienna 29 10 11 8 +3 41
6 Hartberg 28 11 5 12 -18 38
7 Sturm Graz 28 10 5 13 -5 35
8 Altach 29 9 8 12 -6 35
9 Mattersburg 29 7 6 16 -26 27
10 Admira 29 5 9 15 -26 24
11 Tirol 28 6 6 16 -28 24
12 St. Polten 28 5 9 14 -34 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Polten Tirol
1–0 C. Burke
44′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Z. Dedic
55′
🟨 T. Petsos
N. Gorzel 🟨
58′
61′
🟨 B. Soares
62′
🔁 F. Buchacher
↦ S. Santin
A. Carius 🔁
↦ N. Meister
62′
62′
🔁 S. Neurauter
↦ K. Nitzlnader
N. Gorzel 🟨
68′
N. Gorzel 🟥
68′
G. Davies 🔁
↦ M. Rasner
71′
72′
🔁 D. Kovacec
↦ J. Golles
73′
🟨 B. Soares
73′
🟥 B. Soares
76′
🔁 F. Rieder
↦ S. Hager
S. Ingolitsch 🟨
77′
C. Burke 🔁
↦ I. Ouedraogo
80′
S. Ingolitsch 🔁
↦ D. Hofbauer
80′
N. Meister 🟨
82′
83′
Z. Dedic 1–1
S. Santin
D. Hofbauer 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Polten

3-4-3
1 Christoph Riegler G
14 Christoph Klarer D
3 Luan D
17 Ahmet Muhamedbegović D
22 Sandro Ingolitsch M
31 Nico Gorzel M
39 Robert Ljubičić M
21 Kofi Schulz M
77 Alan Cariús F
9 Cory Burke F
11 George Davies F
Bench (7)
23 Kilian Kretschmer
29 Daniel Drescher
4 Dominik Hofbauer
18 Martin Rasner
20 Daniel Schutz
7 Nicolas Meister
33 Issiaka Ouedraogo

Coach: A. Schmidt

Tirol

4-3-3
25 Ferdinand Oswald G
19 Sandro Neurauter D
3 Michael Svoboda D
44 Bruno Soares D
26 Florian Buchacher D
16 Florian Rieder M
6 Thanos Petsos M
23 Dino Kovačec M
22 Zlatko Dedič F
20 Stefan Maierhofer F
27 Kelvin Yeboah F
Bench (7)
1 Pascal Grunwald
14 Julian Gölles
34 Stefan Hager
8 Kevin Nitzlnader
28 Kilian Bauernfeind
9 Sebastian Santin
29 Kerber Felix

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.