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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäger
LASK
S S S T S
3–3
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 62%
76%
47%
Points per game
2,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 41%
35%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

71% Possession 29%
22 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 0
3 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match LASK 2. · Sturm Graz 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 18 13 5 0 +48 44
2 LASK 17 13 2 2 +21 41
3 SK Rapid 18 9 5 4 +17 32
4 Wolfsberger AC 18 9 4 5 +18 31
5 Hartberg 18 8 4 6 -4 28
6 Sturm Graz 17 8 3 6 +10 27
7 Austria Vienna 18 5 6 7 -3 21
8 Altach 18 6 1 11 -9 19
9 St. Polten 18 3 6 9 -26 15
10 Admira 18 3 5 10 -21 14
11 Mattersburg 18 4 2 12 -24 14
12 Tirol 18 3 3 12 -27 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -19 Sturm Graz – LASK 0–2

Match report

LASK Sturm Graz
4′
⚽ Thorsten Röcher 0–1
Tasos Avlonitis
9′
⚽ Stefan Hierländer 0–2
15′
🟨 Juan Dominguez
18′
🟨 Ivan Ljubić
Marvin Potzmann 🔁
↦ René Renner
19′
24′
⚽ Otar Kiteishvili 0–3
Thorsten Röcher
30′
🟨 Philipp Huspek
0–4 Lukas Spendlhofer ⚽
own goal
38′
1–4 Markus Wostry ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–4
Dominik Reiter 🔁
↦ Petar Filipovic
46′
51′
🟨 Stefan Hierländer
61′
🟨 Juan Dominguez
61′
🟥 Juan Dominguez
65′
🔁 Bekim Balaj
↦ Philipp Huspek
Klauss 🔁
↦ Dominik Frieser
67′
Peter Michorl 🟨
71′
2–4 Klauss ⚽
74′
79′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
86′
🟨 Stefan Hierländer
86′
🟥 Stefan Hierländer
88′
🔁 Thomas Schrammel
↦ Thorsten Röcher
Gernot Trauner 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Isaac Donkor
90′
🔁 Markus Pink
↦ Otar Kiteishvili
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

LASK

3-4-3
1 Alexander Schlager G
21 Markus Wostry D
18 Gernot Trauner D
5 Petar Filipovic D
26 Reinhold Ranftl M
23 Stefan Haudum M
8 Peter Michorl M
7 René Renner M
20 Samuel Tetteh F
29 Marko Raguž F
28 Dominik Frieser F
Bench (7)
36 Thomas Gebauer
16 Marvin Potzmann
17 David Schnegg
19 Valentino Müller
11 Dominik Reiter
33 Thomas Sabitzer
9 Klauss

Coach: V. Ismaël

Sturm Graz

3-4-3
27 Jörg Siebenhandl G
20 Isaac Donkor D
5 Tasos Avlonitis D
23 Lukas Spendlhofer D
8 Emanuel Šakić M
21 Juan Dominguez M
30 Ivan Ljubić M
25 Stefan Hierländer M
18 Philipp Huspek F
29 Thorsten Röcher F
10 Otar Kiteishvili F
Bench (7)
32 Tobias Schützenauer
26 Fabian Koch
4 Thomas Schrammel
24 Christoph Leitgeb
11 Kiril Despodov
9 Bekim Balaj
14 Markus Pink

Coach: N. El Maestro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Jäger · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.