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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Aberdeen
S S S U S
3–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 5. · St Mirren 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Dundee 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Rangers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 St Mirren 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Aberdeen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Dundee United 2 0 2 0 +0 2
7 Ross County 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Motherwell 2 0 1 1 -1 1
9 Hearts 2 0 1 1 -2 1
10 ST Johnstone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Kilmarnock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
12 Hibernian 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen St Mirren
Sivert Heltne Nilsen 🟨
13′
17′
🟨 Roland Idowu
34′
🟨 Shaun Rooney
1–0 P. Guèye
J. McGrath
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Smyth
↦ R. Idowu
48′
T. Olusanya 1–1
2–1 J. McGrath
S. Morris
54′
64′
🔁 J. Brown
↦ S. Tanser
64′
🔁 M. Mandron
↦ J. Scott
V. Besuijen 🔁
↦ S. Morris
67′
P. Ambrose 🔁
↦ P. Guèye
67′
75′
🔁 J. Ayunga
↦ T. Olusanya
76′
🔁 E. Bwomono
↦ S. Rooney
Nicky Devlin 🟨
80′
3–1 V. Besuijen
G. Shinnie
81′
89′
🟨 Alex Iacovitti
R. Jensen 🔁
↦ S. Heltne Nilsen
90′
B. Miovski 🔁
↦ E. Sokler
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 N. Devlin D
33 S. Rubežić D
21 G. Molloy D
3 J. MacKenzie D
6 S. Heltne Nilsen M
4 G. Shinnie M
20 S. Morris M
14 P. Guèye M
7 J. McGrath M
19 E. Sokler F
Bench (9)
17 V. Besuijen
32 P. Ambrose
5 R. Jensen
9 B. Miovski
22 J. Milne
23 R. Duncan
30 F. Boyd
15 J. McGarry
31 R. Doohan

Coach: J. Thelin

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 E. Balcombe G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
4 A. Iacovitti D
19 S. Rooney M
23 D. Adeniran M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
12 R. Idowu M
3 S. Tanser M
14 J. Scott F
20 T. Olusanya F
Bench (9)
8 O. Smyth
21 J. Brown
9 M. Mandron
7 J. Ayunga
42 E. Bwomono
26 L. Kenny
27 P. Urminský
30 F. Taylor
5 R. Taylor

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,43
B
3,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.