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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Aberdeen
T T S S S
0–3
Full-time
St Mirren
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 16/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
31%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
44%
35%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · St Mirren 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 16 3 2 +35 51
2 Rangers 19 14 1 4 +28 43
3 Hearts 19 10 2 7 +5 32
4 Kilmarnock 20 8 6 6 +3 30
5 St Mirren 20 7 5 8 -4 26
6 Hibernian 19 6 6 7 -3 24
7 Dundee 17 5 6 6 -6 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 19 3 7 9 -11 16
12 Livingston 19 2 6 11 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Aug -23 St Mirren – Aberdeen 2–2 24. May -23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–0 1. Feb -23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 1–3 24. Dec -22 St Mirren – Aberdeen 3–1 6. Aug -22 Aberdeen – St Mirren 4–1

Match report

Aberdeen St Mirren
12′
⚽ M. O'Hara 0–1
19′
ℹ️ Lewis Jamieson
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Nicky Devlin 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–1
59′
🔁 C. Boyd-Munce
↦ M. OHara
D. Polvara 🔁
↦ G. Shinnie
60′
S. Morris 🔁
↦ R. Jensen
60′
J. Milne 🔁
↦ N. Devlin
61′
64′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ L. Jamieson
64′
🔁 J. Ayunga
↦ M. Mandron
E. Sokler 🔁
↦ Duk
71′
78′
⚽ J. Ayunga 0–2
S. Tanser
J. Hayes 🔁
↦ J. McGarry
81′
92′
ℹ️ Jonah Ayunga
VAR: Penalty confirmed
93′
⚽ G. Kiltie 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-5-2
24 K. Roos G
6 S. Gartenmann D
33 S. Rubežić D
5 R. Jensen D
2 N. Devlin M
7 J. McGrath M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
15 J. McGarry M
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
21 D. Polvara
20 S. Morris
28 J. Milne
19 E. Sokler
17 J. Hayes
27 A. MacDonald
31 R. Doohan
8 C. Barron
23 R. Duncan

Coach: B. Robson

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
22 M. Fraser M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
24 L. Jamieson F
11 G. Kiltie F
9 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
15 C. Boyd-Munce
20 T. Olusanya
7 J. Ayunga
8 R. Flynn
27 P. Urminský
21 A. Greive
19 S. Nahmani
18 C. Dunne
16 T. Small

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
🔒
U
3,40
🔒
B ✓
3,97
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,13
🔒
U2,5
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.