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Premiership

Referee: G Grainger

ST Johnstone

S T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Hibernian

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hibernian

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Premiership · 16/17 matches

Win Ø 27%

19%

35%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

31%

59%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

53%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

0,7

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

5 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ST Johnstone 11. · Hibernian 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	13	3	1	+31	42
2	Rangers	16	12	1	3	+25	37
3	St Mirren	17	7	4	6	-1	25
4	Hibernian	17	6	6	5	-1	24
5	Kilmarnock	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Hearts	16	7	2	7	+0	23
7	Dundee	16	5	6	5	-3	21
8	Ross County	17	4	5	8	-9	17
9	Aberdeen	15	4	4	7	-8	16
10	Motherwell	17	3	6	8	-9	15
11	ST Johnstone	16	3	6	7	-12	15
12	Livingston	15	2	4	9	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Rangers	8	6	0	2	+11	18
3	St Mirren	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Kilmarnock	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+3	12
6	Dundee	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	ST Johnstone	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Ross County	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Hearts	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Motherwell	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Livingston	7	1	2	4	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	9	7	1	1	+14	22
2	Rangers	8	6	1	1	+14	19
3	Hearts	8	4	0	4	+1	12
4	Hibernian	9	3	3	3	-4	12
5	Dundee	8	2	3	3	-3	9
6	St Mirren	9	2	2	5	-7	8
7	Aberdeen	8	2	2	4	-8	8
8	Kilmarnock	8	1	3	4	-4	6
9	Motherwell	8	1	3	4	-6	6
10	Ross County	8	1	3	4	-8	6
11	Livingston	8	1	2	5	-8	5
12	ST Johnstone	7	0	3	4	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.