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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Hearts
S U T S U
3–3
Full-time
Rangers
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 64%
54%
73%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
43%
65%
Both score Ø 44%
41%
46%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Rangers 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 37 27 3 7 +55 84
3 Hearts 37 20 7 10 +12 67
4 Kilmarnock 37 14 13 10 +2 55
5 Aberdeen 37 12 11 14 -4 47
6 St Mirren 37 13 8 16 -5 47
7 Hibernian 37 11 12 14 -7 45
8 Motherwell 37 10 13 14 -2 43
9 Dundee 37 10 11 16 -19 41
10 Ross County 37 8 10 19 -29 34
11 ST Johnstone 37 7 11 19 -26 32
12 Livingston 37 5 9 23 -41 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Feb -24 Rangers – Hearts 5–0 6. Dec -23 Hearts – Rangers 0–1 29. Oct -23 Rangers – Hearts 2–1 24. May -23 Rangers – Hearts 2–2 1. Feb -23 Hearts – Rangers 0–3

Match report

Hearts Rangers
1–0 L. Shankland ⚽
Y. Oda
33′
Half-time 1–1
52′
⚽ R. McCausland 1–1
Kye Rowles 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 K. Dowell
↦ M. Diomandé
60′
🔁 Fábio Silva
↦ S. Wright
60′
🔁 R. Yılmaz
↦ R. Fraser
63′
🟨 Kieran Dowell
S. Fraser 🔁
↦ B. McKay
63′
69′
⚽ T. Cantwell 1–2
C. Dessers
72′
🔁 D. Sterling
↦ B. Davies
72′
🔁 A. Sima
↦ C. Dessers
L. Boyce 🔁
↦ Y. Oda
75′
D. Lembikisa 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
75′
79′
⚽ Fábio Silva 1–3
K. Dowell
2–3 D. Lembikisa ⚽
K. Vargas
82′
K. Tagawa 🔁
↦ K. Vargas
86′
3–3 K. Tagawa ⚽
F. Kent
95′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
11 Y. Oda M
77 K. Vargas M
18 B. McKay M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
29 S. Fraser
10 L. Boyce
81 D. Lembikisa
30 K. Tagawa
54 J. Wilson
7 J. Grant
22 A. Denholm
1 C. Gordon
25 M. Tait

Coach: S. Naismith

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
38 L. King D
26 B. Davies D
47 R. Fraser D
42 M. Diomandé M
43 N. Raskin M
45 R. McCausland M
13 T. Cantwell M
23 S. Wright M
9 C. Dessers F
Bench (9)
20 K. Dowell
7 Fábio Silva
3 R. Yılmaz
21 D. Sterling
19 A. Sima
46 J. Yfeko
28 R. McCrorie
8 R. Jack
93 C. McKinnon

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,40
🔒
U ✓
4,28
🔒
B
1,68
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,45
🔒
U2,5
2,65
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.