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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Celtic
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Hearts
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 65%
74%
56%
Points per game
2,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
71%
38%
Both score Ø 49%
56%
41%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
17 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Hearts 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 25 6 3 +55 81
2 Rangers 34 25 3 6 +50 78
3 Hearts 34 19 6 9 +12 63
4 Kilmarnock 34 13 13 8 +9 52
5 St Mirren 34 12 7 15 -6 43
6 Hibernian 34 10 12 12 -5 42
7 Dundee 34 10 11 13 -11 41
8 Aberdeen 34 9 11 14 -13 38
9 Motherwell 34 8 13 13 -6 37
10 ST Johnstone 34 7 10 17 -24 31
11 Ross County 34 7 9 18 -26 30
12 Livingston 34 4 9 21 -35 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Hearts
1–0 K. Furuhashi
R. Hatate
4′
18′
🟨 Lawrence Shankland
2–0 K. Furuhashi
M. O'Riley
21′
Half-time 2–0
52′
🟨 Cameron Devlin
62′
🔁 S. Fraser
↦ J. Grant
62′
🔁 N. Atkinson
↦ D. Lembikisa
T. Iwata 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
71′
D. Maeda 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
72′
A. Idah 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
72′
72′
🔁 Y. Oda
↦ S. Kingsley
73′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ C. Devlin
82′
🔁 K. Tagawa
↦ K. Vargas
L. Palma 🔁
↦ J. Forrest
84′
Matt O'Riley ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
86′
3–0 M. O'Riley
87′
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ C. McGregor
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
8 K. Furuhashi F
49 J. Forrest F
Bench (9)
24 T. Iwata
38 D. Maeda
9 A. Idah
7 L. Palma
28 Paulo Bernardo
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
17 M. Nawrocki
29 S. Bain
56 A. Ralston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
81 D. Lembikisa M
14 C. Devlin M
6 B. Baningime M
7 J. Grant M
19 A. Cochrane M
77 K. Vargas F
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
29 S. Fraser
13 N. Atkinson
11 Y. Oda
18 B. McKay
30 K. Tagawa
21 T. Sibbick
22 A. Denholm
1 C. Gordon
17 A. Forrest

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,57
B
11,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.