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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
T T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 67%
42%
91%
Points per game
1,5
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
64%
76%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
3,2
3,9
Scored
1,7
3,1
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 4. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 33 30 2 1 +78 92
2 Rangers 33 25 4 4 +47 79
3 Aberdeen 33 17 2 14 +0 53
4 Hearts 33 14 6 13 +7 48
5 Hibernian 34 14 5 15 -2 47
6 St Mirren 34 12 8 14 -12 44
7 Livingston 34 12 6 16 -21 42
8 Motherwell 34 11 7 16 -2 40
9 ST Johnstone 34 10 6 18 -19 36
10 Dundee United 34 8 7 19 -23 31
11 Kilmarnock 34 8 7 19 -31 31
12 Ross County 34 8 6 20 -22 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Mar -23 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 22. Oct -22 Hearts – Celtic 3–4 21. Aug -22 Celtic – Hearts 2–0 7. May -22 Celtic – Hearts 4–1 26. Jan -22 Hearts – Celtic 1–2

Match report

Hearts Celtic
Alex Cochrane 🟥
45′
Alex Cochrane ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
45′
Half-time 0–0
S. Kingsley 🔁
↦ Y. Oda
47′
50′
🟨 Matt O'Riley
67′
⚽ K. Furuhashi 0–1
R. Hatate
70′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ K. Furuhashi
70′
🔁 A. Mooy
↦ M. ORiley
O. Kiomourtzoglou 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
74′
80′
🔁 S. Hakšabanović
↦ Jota
80′
🔁 L. Abada
↦ D. Maeda
80′
⚽ Oh Hyeon-Gyu 0–2
A. Mooy
S. Humphrys 🔁
↦ J. Ginnelly
82′
J. Grant 🔁
↦ B. McKay
82′
86′
🔁 T. Iwata
↦ R. Hatate
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
72 J. Hill D
21 T. Sibbick D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
14 C. Devlin M
5 P. Haring M
88 Y. Oda M
9 L. Shankland M
18 B. McKay M
30 J. Ginnelly F
Bench (9)
3 S. Kingsley
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou
29 S. Humphrys
7 J. Grant
12 N. Atkinson
17 A. Forrest
16 A. Halliday
13 R. Stewart
45 M. Tait

Coach: S. Naismith

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
4 C. Starfelt D
18 Y. Kobayashi D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
17 Jota F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
13 A. Mooy
9 S. Hakšabanović
11 L. Abada
24 T. Iwata
29 S. Bain
50 B. Lawal
14 D. Turnbull
25 A. Bernabei

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,23
🔒
U
5,51
🔒
B ✓
1,32
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,44
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,72
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.