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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Celtic
S S S S S
3–2
Full-time
St Mirren
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 56%
76%
35%
Points per game
2,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
73%
49%
Both score Ø 48%
54%
41%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

73% Possession 27%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · St Mirren 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 37 27 3 7 +55 84
3 Hearts 37 20 7 10 +12 67
4 Kilmarnock 37 14 13 10 +2 55
5 Aberdeen 37 12 11 14 -4 47
6 St Mirren 37 13 8 16 -5 47
7 Hibernian 37 11 12 14 -7 45
8 Motherwell 37 10 13 14 -2 43
9 Dundee 37 10 11 16 -19 41
10 Ross County 37 8 10 19 -29 34
11 ST Johnstone 37 7 11 19 -26 32
12 Livingston 37 5 9 23 -41 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–0 2. Jan -24 St Mirren – Celtic 0–3 1. Nov -23 Celtic – St Mirren 2–1 20. May -23 Celtic – St Mirren 2–2 5. Mar -23 St Mirren – Celtic 1–5

Match report

Celtic St Mirren
7′
⚽ M. O'Hara 0–1
1–1 M. O'Riley ⚽
21′
26′
⚽ M. O'Hara 1–2
2–2 K. Furuhashi ⚽
R. Hatate
37′
Half-time 2–2
A. Idah 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
65′
T. Iwata 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
65′
L. Scales 🔁
↦ S. Welsh
65′
66′
🔁 C. Dunne
↦ R. Taylor
66′
🔁 R. Strain
↦ E. Bwomono
75′
🔁 M. Mandron
↦ T. Olusanya
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ C. McGregor
77′
80′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ C. McMenamin
80′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
3–2 L. Palma ⚽
A. Ralston
86′
S. Bain 🔁
↦ J. Hart
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
57 S. Welsh D
17 M. Nawrocki D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
9 A. Idah
24 T. Iwata
5 L. Scales
28 Paulo Bernardo
29 S. Bain
38 D. Maeda
20 C. Carter-Vickers
2 A. Johnston
49 J. Forrest

Coach: B. Rodgers

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
42 E. Bwomono M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
20 T. Olusanya F
Bench (9)
18 C. Dunne
23 R. Strain
9 M. Mandron
24 L. Jamieson
8 R. Flynn
2 J. Bolton
21 J. Brown
27 P. Urminský
14 J. Scott

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
🔒
U
6,59
🔒
B
11,70
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,40
🔒
U2,5
2,84
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.