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Conference League
Referee: L Pairetto
Aston Villa
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Hibernian
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,0
4,3
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
100%
40%
Points per game
3,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 40%
0%
80%
Average goals
5,0
4,6
Scored
5,0
2,4
Conceded
0,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+5,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 0
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -23 Hibernian – Aston Villa 0–5

Match report

Aston Villa Hibernian
1–0 J. Durán ⚽
11′
2–0 L. Bailey ⚽
34′
Half-time 2–0
M. Cash 🔁
↦ E. Konsa
46′
J. McGinn 🔁
↦ B. Kamara
46′
54′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ C. Doidge
54′
🔁 W. Fish
↦ J. Obita
3–0 M. Cash ⚽
61′
O. Watkins 🔁
↦ J. Durán
62′
Diego Carlos 🔁
↦ Pau Torres
63′
65′
🔁 M. Boyle
↦ É. Youan
65′
🔁 A. Delferrière
↦ J. Newell
69′
🟨 Lewis Miller
L. Dendoncker 🔁
↦ Douglas Luiz
69′
89′
🔁 R. Molotnikov
↦ J. Campbell
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Aston Villa

3-5-2
25 R. Olsen G
16 C. Chambers D
4 E. Konsa D
14 Pau Torres D
31 L. Bailey M
44 B. Kamara M
6 Douglas Luiz M
8 Y. Tielemans M
56 S. Revan M
71 O. Kellyman F
24 J. Durán F
Bench (11)
2 M. Cash
7 J. McGinn
11 O. Watkins
3 Diego Carlos
32 L. Dendoncker
42 F. Marschall
48 O. Zych
58 T. O'Reilly
12 L. Digne
59 J. Feeney
19 M. Diaby

Coach: Unai Emery

Hibernian

3-4-2-1
1 D. Marshall G
33 R. Bushiri D
4 P. Hanlon D
16 L. Stevenson D
2 L. Miller M
14 J. Jeggo M
11 J. Newell M
21 J. Obita M
32 J. Campbell F
7 É. Youan F
23 C. Doidge F
Bench (12)
19 A. Le Fondre
5 W. Fish
10 M. Boyle
28 A. Delferrière
35 R. Molotnikov
42 K. Megwa
26 R. Harbottle
40 R. McAllister
31 M. Johnson
9 D. Vente
25 M. Boruc
44 J. MacIntyre

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.