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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Hearts

S S U S U

3–1

Full-time

Hibernian

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Hibernian

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 38%

47%

28%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

38%

34%

Both score Ø 43%

47%

38%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 3. · Hibernian 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	32	25	4	3	+52	79
2	Rangers	32	22	7	3	+36	73
3	Hearts	32	15	9	8	+13	54
4	Dundee United	32	10	10	12	-6	40
5	Motherwell	32	10	9	13	-12	39
6	Hibernian	32	9	11	12	-4	38
7	Ross County	32	9	10	13	-8	37
8	Livingston	32	10	7	15	-8	37
9	Aberdeen	32	9	9	14	-3	36
10	St Mirren	32	8	12	12	-16	36
11	ST Johnstone	32	7	9	16	-16	30
12	Dundee	32	5	9	18	-28	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	13	2	0	+33	41
2	Rangers	17	12	4	1	+23	40
3	Hearts	16	10	3	3	+16	33
4	Motherwell	17	8	4	5	-1	28
5	Aberdeen	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Hibernian	17	6	6	5	+2	24
7	Dundee United	15	7	2	6	-2	23
8	Ross County	16	5	7	4	+2	22
9	Livingston	15	5	3	7	-3	18
10	ST Johnstone	17	4	5	8	-6	17
11	St Mirren	15	3	7	5	-3	16
12	Dundee	17	3	6	8	-11	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	12	2	3	+19	38
2	Rangers	15	10	3	2	+13	33
3	Hearts	16	5	6	5	-3	21
4	St Mirren	17	5	5	7	-13	20
5	Livingston	17	5	4	8	-5	19
6	Dundee United	17	3	8	6	-4	17
7	Ross County	16	4	3	9	-10	15
8	Hibernian	15	3	5	7	-6	14
9	ST Johnstone	15	3	4	8	-10	13
10	Aberdeen	17	2	5	10	-10	11
11	Motherwell	15	2	5	8	-11	11
12	Dundee	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.