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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Pau FC
T U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Amiens
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
75%
38%
Both score Ø 32%
38%
25%
Average goals
3,4
1,9
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 10. · Amiens 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 8 6 1 1 +6 19
2 Grenoble 8 4 4 0 +5 16
3 Auxerre 8 4 3 1 +9 15
4 Rodez 8 4 2 2 +4 14
5 Angers 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 St Etienne 8 4 2 2 +2 14
7 Amiens 8 4 2 2 +1 14
8 Caen 7 4 0 3 +6 12
9 Guingamp 8 3 2 3 +5 11
10 Pau FC 8 3 2 3 -1 11
11 Bordeaux 7 3 2 2 -1 11
12 Annecy 8 2 4 2 -1 10
13 Ajaccio 8 2 4 2 -4 10
14 Bastia 8 2 2 4 -5 8
15 Concarneau 8 2 2 4 -5 8
16 Troyes 9 1 4 4 -2 7
17 Paris FC 8 2 0 6 -4 6
18 Dunkerque 7 1 3 3 -4 6
19 Valenciennes 8 1 3 4 -7 6
20 Quevilly Rouen 8 0 2 6 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Amiens
1–0 H. Saivet
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Touho
↦ A. Tapsoba
46′
🔁 M. Do Couto
↦ Mamadou Fofana II
Jean Ruiz 🟨
60′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ M. Chahiri
63′
64′
🔁 A. Carroll
↦ A. Léautey
Y. Njoh 🔁
↦ M. Bassouamina
73′
S. D'Almeida 🔁
↦ S. Beusnard
74′
O. Ngom 🔁
↦ L. Mouton
83′
K. Ahoussou 🔁
↦ H. Saivet
83′
83′
🔁 N. Opoku
↦ K. Ouattara
83′
🔁 Y. Assogba
↦ S. Corchia
Sessi D'Almeida 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-2-3-1
1 B. Kamara G
2 T. Koudou D
4 X. Kouassi D
25 J. Ruiz D
24 K. Boto D
13 L. Mouton M
21 S. Beusnard M
99 M. Chahiri M
8 H. Saivet M
11 M. Bassouamina M
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
7 M. Sylla
30 Y. Njoh
6 S. D'Almeida
18 O. Ngom
22 K. Ahoussou
23 J. Obiang
40 M. Jeannin

Coach: N. Usaï

Amiens

4-1-4-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
5 O. Urhoghide D
2 M. Fofana D
22 K. Ouattara D
29 F. Boya M
7 A. Léautey M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
20 K. Kaïboué M
8 A. Tapsoba M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
94 M. Touho
11 M. Do Couto
99 A. Carroll
4 N. Opoku
15 Y. Assogba
16 A. Sauvage
25 O. Gene

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,86
U
3,24
B
2,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.