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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Huddersfield
T S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Ipswich
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
25%
88%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 1,36
39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 17. · Ipswich 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 +9 +6.9 21
2 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 +7 +5.5 21
3 Preston 8 6 2 0 +7 +0.6 20
4 Sunderland 9 5 1 3 +10 +4.5 16
5 Hull 8 4 3 1 +5 -2.1 15
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 +4 +4.1 13
7 Cardiff 8 4 1 3 +2 +2.0 13
8 Norwich 8 4 1 3 +1 +1.8 13
9 Southampton 9 4 1 4 -5 -1.5 13
10 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 +2 +2.4 12
11 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 +1 +4.5 12
12 Millwall 8 3 2 3 -1 -5.0 11
13 Plymouth 8 3 1 4 +3 -1.9 10
14 West Brom 8 2 4 2 +1 -3.6 10
15 Blackburn 8 3 1 4 -4 -0.3 10
16 Watford 8 2 3 3 +1 +0.2 9
17 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 -4 -4.5 9
18 Coventry 8 1 5 2 +1 +2.1 8
19 QPR 8 2 2 4 -5 -5.4 8
20 Stoke 8 2 1 5 -4 +2.2 7
21 Swansea 8 1 3 4 -2 -0.1 6
22 Middlesbrough 8 1 2 5 -8 +3.8 5
23 Rotherham 8 1 2 5 -9 -9.9 5
24 Sheffield Weds 9 0 2 7 -12 -6.4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Ipswich
Yuta Nakayama 🟨
5′
20′
🟨 Cameron Burgess
Sorba Thomas 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Wes Burns
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Williams
↦ H. Clarke
52′
🟨 Leif Davis
Delano Burgzorg 🟨
61′
1–0 D. Burgzorg
Y. Nakayama
61′
65′
🔁 J. Taylor
↦ L. Evans
K. Hudlin 🔁
↦ J. Koroma
72′
B. Jackson 🔁
↦ Y. Nakayama
72′
R. Edmonds-Green 🔁
↦ J. Hogg
72′
75′
🔁 M. Harness
↦ C. Chaplin
75′
🔁 F. Ladapo
↦ G. Hirst
75′
🔁 D. Scarlett
↦ W. Burns
87′
B. Williams 1–1
T. Lees 🔁
↦ S. Thomas
92′
K. Harratt 🔁
↦ D. Burgzorg
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Huddersfield

3-5-2
1 L. Nicholls G
4 M. Pearson D
5 M. Helik D
3 J. Ruffels D
14 S. Thomas M
8 J. Rudoni M
6 J. Hogg M
23 B. Wiles M
33 Y. Nakayama M
7 D. Burgzorg F
10 J. Koroma F
Bench (9)
27 K. Hudlin
30 B. Jackson
2 R. Edmonds-Green
32 T. Lees
22 K. Harratt
12 C. Maxwell
11 B. Diarra
16 T. Edwards
15 J. Headley

Coach: D. Moore

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
31 V. Hladký G
2 H. Clarke D
6 L. Woolfenden D
15 C. Burgess D
3 L. Davis D
8 L. Evans M
25 M. Luongo M
7 W. Burns M
10 C. Chaplin M
20 O. Hutchinson M
27 G. Hirst F
Bench (9)
18 B. Williams
14 J. Taylor
11 M. Harness
9 F. Ladapo
24 D. Scarlett
13 C. Slicker
19 K. Jackson
12 D. Ball
44 J. Donacien

Coach: K. McKenna

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,72
U ✓
3,77
B
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.