Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
Go Ahead Eagles
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +19 | +12.9 | 18 |
| 2 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +13 | +6.4 | 16 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +9 | +4.6 | 15 |
| 4 |
Feyenoord
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +18 | +13.1 | 14 |
| 5 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | +0.4 | 11 |
| 6 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +0 | -4.8 | 10 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | -2.6 | 9 |
| 8 |
For Sittard
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +0 | +2.2 | 9 |
| 9 |
Heracles
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -4.8 | 8 |
| 10 |
Nijmegen
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +0 | -6.0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Zwolle
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | +2.5 | 7 |
| 12 |
Heerenveen
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7 | -5.9 | 6 |
| 13 |
Waalwijk
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | +1.0 | 6 |
| 14 |
Ajax
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -1.1 | 5 |
| 15 |
Vitesse
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7 | -4.0 | 3 |
| 16 |
Utrecht
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | -4.8 | 3 |
| 17 |
Volendam
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | -2.5 | 1 |
| 18 |
Almere City
|
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 | -6.7 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ajax
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Celtic
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Almere City
J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.