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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Kilmarnock
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 57%
29%
85%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
60%
Both score Ø 37%
29%
45%
Average goals
2,0
3,4
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
3 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 7. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 17 1 2 +42 52
2 Rangers 19 16 2 1 +42 50
3 Motherwell 21 12 1 8 +6 37
4 Aberdeen 21 10 6 5 +4 36
5 Livingston 22 7 7 8 +2 28
6 Hibernian 21 6 7 8 -7 25
7 Kilmarnock 21 6 5 10 -7 23
8 Ross County 20 5 6 9 -20 21
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 8 8 -19 20
10 St Mirren 21 5 4 12 -12 19
11 Hamilton 21 4 6 11 -14 18
12 Hearts 21 2 7 12 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Sep -19 Celtic – Kilmarnock 3–1

Match report

Kilmarnock Celtic
25′
O. Édouard 0–1
Half-time 0–2
51′
L. Griffiths 0–2
C. McGregor
57′
🟨 Olivier Ntcham
Gary Dicker 🟨
60′
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ M. El Makrini
63′
1–2 N. Kabamba
A. Power
66′
73′
C. Jullien 1–3
L. Griffiths
D. Del Fabro 🔁
↦ A. Bruce
76′
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ H. Bunn
78′
80′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ L. Griffiths
88′
🔁 M. Bauer
↦ J. Frimpong
90′
🟨 Moritz Bauer
96′
🔁 V. Bayo
↦ O. Édouard
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1
24 J. Koprivec G
4 A. Bruce D
2 S. O'Donnell D
17 S. Findlay D
14 N. Hamalainen D
29 C. Burke M
15 M. El Makrini M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
11 H. Bunn M
27 N. Kabamba F
Bench (7)
9 E. Brophy
26 D. Del Fabro
10 G. Kiltie
20 I. Wilson
25 H. St Clair
5 C. Johnson
12 L. Brănescu

Coach: A. Dyer

Celtic

3-5-2
67 F. Forster G
5 J. Šimunović D
2 C. Jullien D
35 K. Ajer D
30 J. Frimpong D
8 S. Brown M
15 J. Hayes M
42 C. McGregor M
21 O. Ntcham M
9 L. Griffiths F
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (7)
19 M. Johnston
13 M. Bauer
10 V. Bayo
11 P. Klimala
1 C. Gordon
14 D. Arzani
3 G. Taylor

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,36
U
5,17
B ✓
1,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.