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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Hibernian
T S S S S
0–2
Full-time
Motherwell
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 38%
52%
23%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 36%
31%
40%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
16 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · Motherwell 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 30 26 4 0 +64 82
2 Celtic 30 19 7 4 +41 64
3 Hibernian 29 15 7 7 +15 52
4 Aberdeen 30 13 9 8 +3 48
5 Livingston 29 11 7 11 +1 40
6 St Mirren 30 9 9 12 -6 36
7 Dundee United 30 8 10 12 -15 34
8 ST Johnstone 30 8 9 13 -8 33
9 Motherwell 30 7 8 15 -20 29
10 Ross County 29 7 5 17 -31 26
11 Kilmarnock 30 7 3 20 -16 24
12 Hamilton 29 6 6 17 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Motherwell
25′
J. Roberts 0–1
T. Watt
41′
🔁 N. McGinley
↦ J. Carroll
Half-time 0–2
46′
D. Cole 0–2
J. Roberts
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
49′
A. Gogić 🔁
↦ L. Stevenson
49′
R. Porteous 🔁
↦ D. McGregor
49′
70′
🔁 D. Gallagher
↦ T. Watt
Martin Boyle 🟨
79′
S. Allan 🔁
↦ J. Irvine
79′
79′
🔁 S. Lawless
↦ J. Roberts
Paul Hanlon 🟨
81′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 O. Marciano G
16 L. Stevenson M
4 P. Hanlon D
24 D. McGregor D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
10 M. Boyle F
11 J. Newell M
36 J. Irvine M
18 J. Murphy F
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
15 K. Nisbet
13 A. Gogić
5 R. Porteous
23 S. Allan
8 D. Wright
43 S. Bradley
2 D. Gray
33 M. Macey
20 M. Hallberg

Coach: J. Ross

Motherwell

4-3-3
13 L. Kelly G
3 J. Carroll D
33 S. O'Donnell D
4 R. Lamie D
40 T. Magloire D
8 R. Crawford M
39 J. Roberts F
6 A. Campbell M
15 B. Maguire M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
Bench (9)
5 N. McGinley
31 D. Gallagher
14 S. Lawless
11 J. Hastie
9 C. Long
26 D. Cornelius
23 P. Morrison
24 D. Devine
19 L. Polworth

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
3,64
B ✓
4,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.