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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Hamilton
U S T U T
0–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 11
17 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 8. · Aberdeen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 10 8 1 1 +25 25
2 Rangers 10 8 1 1 +22 25
3 Kilmarnock 10 5 2 3 +1 17
4 Motherwell 10 5 1 4 +1 16
5 Aberdeen 10 4 3 3 -1 15
6 Ross County 10 3 4 3 -7 13
7 Livingston 10 3 3 4 +0 12
8 Hamilton 10 2 3 5 -9 9
9 Hearts 10 1 5 4 -4 8
10 St Mirren 10 2 2 6 -4 8
11 Hibernian 10 1 5 4 -10 8
12 ST Johnstone 10 1 4 5 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton Aberdeen
14′
L. Ferguson 0–1
R. Hedges
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 D. Campbell
↦ C. Bryson
52′
🟨 Dean Campbell
Ross Cunningham 🟨
62′
D. Moyo 🔁
↦ L. Smith
62′
74′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ R. Hedges
S. Davies 🔁
↦ R. Cunningham
76′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-2-3-1
1 O. Williams G
13 A. Gogić M
3 S. McMann D
26 S. Stubbs D
40 J. Hamilton M
25 S. Martin M
15 R. Hughes M
14 R. Cunningham M
28 L. Smith M
9 G. Oakley M
11 M. Miller F
Bench (7)
20 D. Moyo
8 S. Davies
33 R. Mimnaugh
6 J. Hunt
18 D. MacKinnon
31 L. Southwood
17 A. Beck

Coach: B. Rice

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
2 S. Logan D
3 G. Leigh D
5 S. McKenna D
33 Z. Vyner D
7 C. Bryson M
10 N. McGinn F
11 R. Hedges M
19 L. Ferguson M
16 S. Cosgrove F
Bench (7)
24 D. Campbell
18 C. McLennan
25 B. Anderson
20 T. Černý
9 C. Main
6 M. Devlin
21 J. Gallagher

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,72
U
3,48
B ✓
1,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.