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Super League
Referee: S Tsimenteridis
Panathinaikos
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 43%
54%
31%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
54%
42%
Both score Ø 47%
58%
35%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,96 xG 0,61
57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Panetolikos 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PAOK 27 18 7 2 +38 +8.8 61
2 Olympiakos 27 18 7 2 +35 +9.6 61
3 AEK 27 18 7 2 +30 +8.3 61
4 Panathinaikos 26 14 7 5 +19 +5.4 49
5 Levadeiakos 27 11 8 8 +13 -7.7 41
6 OFI Crete 26 10 2 14 -10 -7.8 32
7 Atromitos 27 7 9 11 -4 -1.6 30
8 Aris Thessalonikis 25 6 12 7 -5 -2.8 30
9 Aris 25 6 12 7 -5 30
10 Volos NFC 27 8 5 14 -15 +1.7 29
11 Kifisia 27 6 10 11 -8 -0.8 28
12 Panetolikos 26 8 3 15 -13 -2.2 27
13 Larisa 27 5 10 12 -17 -2.9 25
14 Asteras Tripolis 27 3 9 15 -19 -3.6 18
15 Panserraikos 27 4 6 17 -39 -4.5 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Panetolikos
Half-time 0–0
P. Chirivella 🔁
↦ S. Andino
63′
A. Jagusic 🔁
↦ P. Pantelidis
63′
72′
🔁 J. Garcia
↦ J. Aguirre
72′
🔁 K. Aleksic
↦ Lenny Lobato
T. Vilhena 🔁
↦ S. Kontouris
77′
M. Siopis 🔁
↦ F. Djuricic
77′
78′
🔁 G. Satsias
↦ Farley Rosa
79′
🔁 A. Bregou
↦ Esteban Diego
M. Pantovic 🔁
↦ K. Swiderski
81′
85′
🟨 Juan Manuel García
91′
🔁 K. Michalak
↦ A. Matan
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

3-4-2-1
70 K. Kotsaris
3 G. Katris
26 J. Hernandez D
5 A. Touba D
23 P. Pantelidis
17 M. Sissoko M
18 S. Kontouris M
9 A. Zaroury M
31 F. Djuricic F
10 S. Andino F
19 K. Swiderski F
Bench (12)
12 L. Chaves
40 A. Lafont
11 A. Bakasetas
52 T. Vilhena
4 P. Chirivella
2 D. Calabria
6 M. Siopis
72 M. Pantovic
20 V. Taborda
7 A. Tetteh
16 A. Gnezda Cerin
88 A. Jagusic

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Panetolikos

4-1-4-1
99 Y. Kucherenko G
35 C. Mavrias D
2 G. Granath D
28 L. Kojic
65 A. Apostolopoulos
41 A. Bouchalakis M
70 Lenny Lobato M
22 Esteban Diego
10 A. Matan M
19 Farley Rosa M
9 J. Aguirre
Bench (12)
12 Z. Zivkovic
1 M. Pardalos
5 S. Mladen
4 U. Garcia
31 J. Garcia
18 G. Satsias
14 K. Aleksic
77 E. Nikolaou
30 A. Bregou
71 K. Michalak
15 C. Manrique
8 C. Belevonis

Coach: Giannis Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,29
U ✓
4,79
B
9,32
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Tsimenteridis · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.