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Super League

Referee: A Evangelou

Panathinaikos

U S U S S

4–1

Full-time

OFI Crete

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos OFI Crete

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

43%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

78%

Both score Ø 47%

54%

39%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,57 xG 0,88

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 4

14 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

5 Corners 0

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · OFI Crete 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	25	17	6	2	+32	+6.4	57
2	AEK	25	17	6	2	+29	+5.4	57
3	PAOK	24	16	6	2	+32	+5.0	54
4	Panathinaikos	24	12	7	5	+13	+2.8	43
5	Levadeiakos	25	11	8	6	+19	-4.0	41
6	OFI Crete	23	10	1	12	-4	-2.7	31
7	Aris Thessalonikis	23	6	10	7	-5	-3.2	28
8	Aris	23	6	10	7	-5	–	28
9	Volos NFC	25	8	4	13	-13	+1.0	28
10	Atromitos	24	7	6	11	-4	+0.5	27
11	Kifisia	24	5	10	9	-6	+0.7	25
12	Panetolikos	25	7	3	15	-14	-2.3	24
13	Larisa	25	5	9	11	-16	-1.2	24
14	Asteras Tripolis	25	3	8	14	-18	-2.5	17
15	Panserraikos	24	3	4	17	-40	-6.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	13	11	2	0	+23	+2.8	35
2	Olympiakos	12	10	1	1	+20	+2.2	31
3	AEK	12	10	1	1	+17	+2.3	31
4	Panathinaikos	12	8	3	1	+14	+1.9	27
5	Levadeiakos	12	7	3	2	+19	-2.1	24
6	OFI Crete	13	7	0	6	+9	-1.0	21
7	Volos NFC	12	4	4	4	-4	+1.3	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	11	2	8	1	+1	+0.1	14
9	Aris	11	2	8	1	+1	–	14
10	Larisa	13	3	5	5	-8	-0.5	14
11	Kifisia	12	3	4	5	-1	+1.7	13
12	Asteras Tripolis	12	2	5	5	-2	+0.1	11
13	Atromitos	13	2	4	7	-5	+0.6	10
14	Panserraikos	12	3	1	8	-16	-5.2	10
15	Panetolikos	12	3	0	9	-10	+0.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	13	7	5	1	+12	+3.1	26
2	Olympiakos	13	7	5	1	+12	+4.2	26
3	PAOK	11	5	4	2	+9	+2.2	19
4	Atromitos	11	5	2	4	+1	-0.1	17
5	Levadeiakos	13	4	5	4	+0	-1.9	17
6	Panathinaikos	12	4	4	4	-1	+0.9	16
7	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-4	-2.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	12	4	2	6	-6	-3.3	14
9	Aris	12	4	2	6	-6	–	14
10	Kifisia	12	2	6	4	-5	-1.0	12
11	Volos NFC	13	4	0	9	-9	-0.3	12
12	Larisa	12	2	4	6	-8	-0.7	10
13	OFI Crete	10	3	1	6	-13	-1.6	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	13	1	3	9	-16	-2.6	6
15	Panserraikos	12	0	3	9	-24	-0.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.