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Europa League
Referee: Szymon Marciniak
Panathinaikos
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Betis
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 14/8 matches
Win Ø 46%
29%
63%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,97 xG 0,68
32% Possession 68%
7 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1

Match report

Panathinaikos Betis
17′
🟨 Natan
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 V. Gomez
↦ Natan
Anass Zaroury 🟨
48′
Anass Zaroury 🟨
59′
Anass Zaroury 🟥
59′
66′
🟨 Diego Llorente
68′
🔁 R. Riquelme
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
69′
🔁 J. Firpo
↦ R. Rodriguez
75′
🟨 Junior Firpo
78′
🔁 N. Deossa
↦ S. Altimira
K. Swiderski 🔁
↦ A. Tetteh
83′
M. Siopis 🔁
↦ A. Gnezda Cerin
83′
Karol Świderski ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
86′
86′
🟨 Diego Llorente
86′
🟥 Diego Llorente
87′
🟨 Pau López
1–0 V. Taborda ⚽
88′
89′
🔁 M. Bartra
↦ P. Fornals
F. Djuricic 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
92′
S. Andino 🔁
↦ V. Taborda
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

3-4-3
40 A. Lafont G
2 D. Calabria D
15 S. I. Ingason D
3 G. Katris
9 A. Zaroury M
8 R. Sanches M
16 A. Gnezda Cerin M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
28 F. Pellistri F
7 A. Tetteh
20 V. Taborda F
Bench (9)
70 K. Kotsaris
71 C. Geitonas
31 F. Djuricic
4 P. Chirivella
19 K. Swiderski
6 M. Siopis
72 M. Pantovic
10 S. Andino
34 A. Vyntra

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 P. Lopez G
24 A. Ruibal D
3 D. Llorente D
4 Natan D
12 R. Rodriguez D
6 S. Altimira M
21 M. Roca M
7 Antony M
8 P. Fornals M
10 A. Ezzalzouli M
19 Cucho Hernandez F
Bench (12)
1 A. Valles
13 Adrian
5 M. Bartra
11 C. Bakambu
9 C. Avila
23 J. Firpo
18 N. Deossa
16 V. Gomez
2 H. Bellerin
15 A. Fidalgo
17 R. Riquelme
52 P. Garcia

Coach: Manuel Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Szymon Marciniak · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.