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Super League

Referee: Cláudio Pereira

Panathinaikos

S S U S T

2–1

Full-time

AEK

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,5

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,5

This season — Super League · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 65%

63%

67%

Points per game

2,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

53%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,3

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 11

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	32	22	3	7	+41	69
2	AEK	30	20	9	1	+41	69
3	PAOK	32	21	4	7	+45	67
4	Panathinaikos	30	19	5	6	+42	62
5	Aris Thessalonikis	29	14	6	9	+10	48
6	Aris	29	14	6	9	+10	48
7	Lamia	32	10	8	14	-18	38
8	Atromitos	30	8	11	11	-14	35
9	Asteras Tripolis	30	10	4	16	-14	34
10	Panserraikos	30	7	10	13	-19	31
11	OFI Crete	30	6	12	12	-18	30
12	Volos NFC	30	6	8	16	-24	26
13	Panetolikos	30	5	9	16	-24	24
14	Kifisia	30	3	12	15	-32	21
15	Giannina	30	3	11	16	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	13	0	4	+30	39
2	AEK	15	12	3	0	+25	39
3	PAOK	17	11	3	3	+24	36
4	Panathinaikos	15	10	3	2	+26	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	14	9	3	2	+12	30
6	Aris	14	9	3	2	+12	30
7	OFI Crete	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Lamia	15	7	2	6	-3	23
9	Panserraikos	15	5	7	3	+1	22
10	Atromitos	15	5	6	4	-3	21
11	Asteras Tripolis	15	6	3	6	-5	21
12	Panetolikos	15	5	3	7	-8	18
13	Volos NFC	15	4	3	8	-8	15
14	Giannina	15	2	7	6	-8	13
15	Kifisia	15	2	7	6	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	15	10	1	4	+21	31
2	AEK	15	8	6	1	+16	30
3	Olympiakos	15	9	3	3	+11	30
4	Panathinaikos	15	9	2	4	+16	29
5	Aris Thessalonikis	15	5	3	7	-2	18
6	Aris	15	5	3	7	-2	18
7	Lamia	17	3	6	8	-15	15
8	Atromitos	15	3	5	7	-11	14
9	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	1	10	-9	13
10	Volos NFC	15	2	5	8	-16	11
11	Panserraikos	15	2	3	10	-20	9
12	Kifisia	15	1	5	9	-23	8
13	Giannina	15	1	4	10	-18	7
14	Panetolikos	15	0	6	9	-16	6
15	OFI Crete	15	0	6	9	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.