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Super League
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Panathinaikos
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
AEK
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
0,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,0
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 76%
74%
77%
Points per game
2,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
23%
51%
Both score Ø 28%
26%
29%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
0,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
5 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
15 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 2. · AEK 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 35 27 3 5 +54 84
2 Panathinaikos 35 26 6 3 +35 84
3 PAOK 36 20 10 6 +26 70
4 Olympiakos 36 19 10 7 +38 67
5 Aris Thessalonikis 32 14 5 13 +14 47
6 Aris 33 14 5 14 +13 47
7 Volos NFC 35 12 7 16 -22 43
8 OFI Crete 33 9 11 13 -9 38
9 Atromitos 33 8 11 14 -5 35
10 Panetolikos 33 8 9 16 -16 33
11 Asteras Tripolis 33 5 15 13 -17 30
12 Giannina 33 6 12 15 -24 30
13 Lamia 33 6 12 15 -34 30
14 Ionikos 33 7 7 19 -27 28
15 Levadeiakos 33 4 13 16 -26 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos AEK
21′
🔁 O. Pineda
↦ L. Rota
24′
🟨 Jens Jønsson
Hörður Magnússon 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
Half-time 0–0
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ A. Čerin
46′
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ A. Šporar
59′
L. Kleinheisler 🔁
↦ Bernard
60′
69′
🔁 D. Szymański
↦ J. Jønsson
71′
🟨 Domagoj Vida
E. Çokaj 🔁
↦ S. Palacios
72′
74′
🔁 N. Amrabat
↦ M. Gaćinović
75′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ K. Galanopoulos
75′
🔁 Paolo Fernandes
↦ N. Eliasson
Dimitrios Kourbelis 🟨
85′
89′
🟨 Petros Mantalos
B. Verbič 🔁
↦ D. Kourbelis
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
23 H. Magnússon D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
3 Juan Carlos D
4 Rubén Pérez M
21 D. Kourbelis M
34 S. Palacios M
10 Bernard M
16 A. Čerin M
9 A. Šporar F
Bench (9)
17 D. Mancini
7 F. Ioannidis
8 L. Kleinheisler
18 E. Çokaj
77 B. Verbič
14 F. Sánchez
31 Z. Šarlija
12 Y. Lodygin
6 T. Puchacz

Coach: I. Jovanović

AEK

4-3-1-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
19 N. Eliasson M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
8 M. Gaćinović M
6 J. Jønsson M
7 L. Garcia F
10 S. Zuber F
Bench (9)
13 O. Pineda
4 D. Szymański
5 N. Amrabat
20 P. Mantalos
22 Paolo Fernandes
1 C. Stanković
24 G. Mitoglou
9 T. van Weert
31 G. Tzavellas

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U ✓
3,02
B
2,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.