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Super League

Referee: A Evangelou

Asteras Tripolis

T S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Panetolikos

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — Super League · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 20%

27%

13%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

59%

43%

Both score Ø 52%

64%

39%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

16 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 13. · Panetolikos 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	24	18	6	0	+39	60
2	PAOK	23	16	5	2	+23	53
3	AEK	22	11	6	5	+14	39
4	Panathinaikos	23	9	8	6	+2	35
5	Aris	22	8	8	6	+8	32
6	Aris Thessalonikis	22	8	8	6	+8	32
7	OFI Crete	24	9	5	10	+5	32
8	Larisa	24	7	8	9	-6	29
9	Volos NFC	24	8	4	12	-18	28
10	Atromitos	22	7	6	9	-4	27
11	Xanthi	24	8	3	13	-12	27
12	Lamia	23	5	10	8	-11	25
13	Asteras Tripolis	22	6	4	12	-4	22
14	Panetolikos	23	3	7	13	-18	16
15	Panionios	24	4	4	16	-26	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	11	1	0	+23	34
2	PAOK	12	9	3	0	+16	30
3	AEK	12	7	4	1	+14	25
4	Aris	11	7	2	2	+14	23
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+14	23
6	OFI Crete	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Volos NFC	12	6	2	4	-1	20
8	Panathinaikos	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	Asteras Tripolis	10	5	2	3	+6	17
10	Atromitos	11	4	5	2	+6	17
11	Larisa	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Xanthi	12	4	3	5	+0	15
13	Lamia	11	3	6	2	-2	15
14	Panetolikos	12	3	4	5	-3	13
15	Panionios	12	3	3	6	-2	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	7	5	0	+16	26
2	PAOK	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Panathinaikos	12	4	5	3	-4	17
4	AEK	10	4	2	4	+0	14
5	Larisa	12	3	4	5	-6	13
6	Xanthi	12	4	0	8	-12	12
7	Lamia	12	2	4	6	-9	10
8	Atromitos	11	3	1	7	-10	10
9	OFI Crete	12	2	3	7	-6	9
10	Aris	11	1	6	4	-6	9
11	Aris Thessalonikis	11	1	6	4	-6	9
12	Volos NFC	12	2	2	8	-17	8
13	Asteras Tripolis	12	1	2	9	-10	5
14	Panionios	12	1	1	10	-24	4
15	Panetolikos	11	0	3	8	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.