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Süper Lig

Referee: A Yilmaz

Kayserispor

U T T S T

0–4

Full-time

Fenerbahce

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 39%

14%

64%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

46%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

64%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,41 xG 1,47

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 16. · Fenerbahce 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	28	21	4	3	+45	+28.7	67
2	Trabzonspor	29	19	7	3	+25	+8.3	64
3	Fenerbahce	28	18	9	1	+34	+29.1	63
4	Besiktas	29	16	7	6	+19	+24.6	55
5	Buyuksehyr	29	13	8	8	+17	+6.0	47
6	Goztep	28	12	10	6	+10	+7.2	46
7	Samsunspor	28	8	12	8	-5	+6.7	36
8	Kocaelispor	28	9	7	12	-9	-2.9	34
9	Gaziantep	28	8	10	10	-10	-3.5	34
10	Alanyaspor	29	6	15	8	+1	-8.6	33
11	Rizespor	28	8	9	11	-2	+0.6	33
12	Konyaspor	28	7	10	11	-8	-1.4	31
13	Antalyaspor	29	7	7	15	-17	-21.5	28
14	Kasimpasa	28	6	9	13	-13	-11.4	27
15	Genclerbirligi	29	6	7	16	-14	-17.3	25
16	Kayserispor	28	4	11	13	-29	-12.0	23
17	Eyüpspor	28	5	7	16	-22	-18.6	22
18	Karagumruk	28	5	5	18	-22	-14.1	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+27	+20.2	36
2	Fenerbahce	14	10	4	0	+19	+21.7	34
3	Trabzonspor	14	9	4	1	+14	+7.4	31
4	Besiktas	15	9	3	3	+11	+16.4	30
5	Buyuksehyr	15	6	6	3	+9	+1.4	24
6	Goztep	14	6	6	2	+7	+6.0	24
7	Kocaelispor	15	6	4	5	+3	+5.0	22
8	Alanyaspor	15	5	5	5	+5	-2.1	20
9	Rizespor	14	6	2	6	-1	+5.5	20
10	Genclerbirligi	14	5	4	5	-1	+0.2	19
11	Samsunspor	14	4	7	3	-2	+6.5	19
12	Konyaspor	14	4	6	4	+1	+4.8	18
13	Gaziantep	14	4	5	5	-5	+3.1	17
14	Karagumruk	14	4	3	7	-6	-1.8	15
15	Antalyaspor	14	4	3	7	-10	-6.0	15
16	Kasimpasa	14	3	5	6	-6	-0.7	14
17	Eyüpspor	14	3	4	7	-8	-5.6	13
18	Kayserispor	13	3	3	7	-16	-1.6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	15	10	3	2	+11	+0.9	33
2	Galatasaray	14	10	1	3	+18	+8.4	31
3	Fenerbahce	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.4	29
4	Besiktas	14	7	4	3	+8	+8.1	25
5	Buyuksehyr	14	7	2	5	+8	+4.6	23
6	Goztep	14	6	4	4	+3	+1.3	22
7	Samsunspor	14	4	5	5	-3	+0.3	17
8	Gaziantep	14	4	5	5	-5	-6.6	17
9	Rizespor	14	2	7	5	-1	-4.9	13
10	Alanyaspor	14	1	10	3	-4	-6.5	13
11	Kasimpasa	14	3	4	7	-7	-10.7	13
12	Antalyaspor	15	3	4	8	-7	-15.5	13
13	Konyaspor	14	3	4	7	-9	-6.1	13
14	Kocaelispor	13	3	3	7	-12	-7.8	12
15	Kayserispor	15	1	8	6	-13	-10.5	11
16	Eyüpspor	14	2	3	9	-14	-13.0	9
17	Genclerbirligi	15	1	3	11	-13	-17.5	6
18	Karagumruk	14	1	2	11	-16	-12.3	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.