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Eliteserien

Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner

Tromso

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Kristiansund

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

0,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,82 xG 0,74

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 1. · Kristiansund 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	3	3	0	0	+7	+6.3	9
2	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
3	Viking	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.4	6
4	Valerenga	3	2	0	1	+2	-2.7	6
5	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.0	6
6	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
7	Brann	3	1	0	2	+2	+0.2	3
8	KFUM Oslo	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
9	Molde	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
10	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
11	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
12	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
13	Start	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.3	2
14	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.1	1
15	Rosenborg	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+6	+5.7	6
2	Viking	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
3	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
5	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
6	Molde	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
7	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.5	3
8	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
9	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
10	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
11	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
12	Brann	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
13	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
14	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
15	Aalesund	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Brann	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.8	3
3	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
4	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
7	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.8	3
8	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.3	3
9	Aalesund	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
10	Start	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
11	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
12	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
13	Rosenborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.