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Premier League
Referee: F Hallam
Brentford
S U U U U
2–2
Full-time
Everton
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
35%
Both score Ø 47%
52%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,84 xG 1,53
55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 7. · Everton 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 +38 +31.6 70
2 Man City 30 18 7 5 +32 +22.2 61
3 Man United 31 15 10 6 +13 +14.8 55
4 Aston Villa 31 16 6 9 +5 -6.2 54
5 Liverpool 31 14 7 10 +8 +13.5 49
6 Chelsea 31 13 9 9 +15 +17.4 48
7 Brentford 31 13 7 11 +4 +7.0 46
8 Everton 31 13 7 11 +2 -7.9 46
9 Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 -1 +2.4 45
10 Fulham 31 13 5 13 -1 -3.4 44
11 Brighton 31 11 10 10 +4 +4.7 43
12 Sunderland 31 11 10 10 -4 -14.9 43
13 Newcastle 31 12 6 13 -1 +6.8 42
14 Crystal Palace 30 10 9 11 -2 +6.3 39
15 Leeds 31 7 12 12 -11 -1.6 33
16 Nott'm Forest 31 8 8 15 -12 -9.9 32
17 West Ham 32 8 8 16 -17 -12.2 32
18 Tottenham 31 7 9 15 -10 -13.9 30
19 Burnley 31 4 8 19 -28 -35.3 20
20 Wolves 32 3 8 21 -34 -21.3 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Everton
2′
🟨 Jordan Pickford
1–0 I. Thiago
3′
26′
Beto 1–1
I. Gueye
Half-time 1–1
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ M. Damsgaard
46′
47′
🟨 James Garner
74′
🔁 T. George
↦ D. McNeil
74′
🔁 T. Barry
↦ Beto
74′
🔁 T. Iroegbunam
↦ I. Gueye
2–1 I. Thiago
M. Kayode
76′
90′
K. Dewsbury-Hall 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Brentford

4-2-3-1
1 C. Kelleher G
33 M. Kayode D
4 S. van den Berg D
22 N. Collins D
23 K. Lewis-Potter D
18 Y. Yarmolyuk M
8 M. Jensen M
19 D. Ouattara M
24 M. Damsgaard M
7 K. Schade M
9 I. Thiago F
Bench (9)
12 H. R. Valdimarsson
20 K. Ajer
5 E. Pinnock
52 R. Owen
50 J. Stephenson
11 R. Nelson
45 R. Donovan
49 O. Shield
48 L. Bentt

Coach: Keith Andrews

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
15 J. O'Brien D
6 J. Tarkowski D
32 J. Branthwaite D
16 V. Mykolenko D
27 I. Gueye M
37 J. Garner M
7 D. McNeil M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
10 I. Ndiaye M
9 Beto F
Bench (9)
12 M. Travers
2 N. Patterson
20 T. Dibling
19 T. George
11 T. Barry
23 S. Coleman
5 M. Keane
42 T. Iroegbunam
34 M. Rohl

Coach: Leighton Baines

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U ✓
3,31
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Hallam · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.