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Süper Lig

Referee: H U Meler

Kayserispor

U S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 14%

12%

15%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

46%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,13 xG 0,25

61% Possession 39%

16 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	26	20	4	2	+44	+28.9	64
2	Fenerbahce	27	17	9	1	+33	+27.2	60
3	Trabzonspor	27	18	6	3	+24	+8.3	60
4	Besiktas	26	14	7	5	+17	+23.4	49
5	Buyuksehyr	27	12	7	8	+14	+3.5	43
6	Goztep	26	11	10	5	+10	+5.3	43
7	Samsunspor	26	8	11	7	-2	+7.6	35
8	Kocaelispor	27	9	6	12	-9	-2.4	33
9	Gaziantep	27	8	9	10	-10	-3.2	33
10	Alanyaspor	27	6	13	8	+1	-8.2	31
11	Rizespor	26	7	9	10	-4	-0.1	30
12	Konyaspor	26	6	9	11	-9	-3.1	27
13	Genclerbirligi	26	6	7	13	-8	-12.8	25
14	Antalyaspor	27	6	7	14	-18	-21.0	25
15	Kasimpasa	26	5	9	12	-14	-11.2	24
16	Eyüpspor	27	5	7	15	-19	-16.4	22
17	Kayserispor	26	3	11	12	-28	-13.6	20
18	Karagumruk	26	4	5	17	-22	-12.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+27	+20.2	36
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	4	0	+18	+19.7	31
3	Trabzonspor	13	8	4	1	+13	+8.1	28
4	Goztep	13	6	6	1	+9	+5.1	24
5	Besiktas	13	7	3	3	+8	+13.2	24
6	Buyuksehyr	14	5	6	3	+6	-0.6	21
7	Kocaelispor	14	6	3	5	+3	+5.5	21
8	Alanyaspor	14	5	4	5	+5	-1.3	19
9	Genclerbirligi	13	5	4	4	+1	+1.3	19
10	Samsunspor	13	4	6	3	-2	+6.8	18
11	Rizespor	13	5	2	6	-4	+5.0	17
12	Gaziantep	13	4	4	5	-5	+3.4	16
13	Konyaspor	13	3	6	4	+0	+3.4	15
14	Eyüpspor	14	3	4	7	-8	-5.6	13
15	Karagumruk	13	3	3	7	-7	-1.6	12
16	Antalyaspor	13	3	3	7	-13	-8.2	12
17	Kasimpasa	13	2	5	6	-8	-0.9	11
18	Kayserispor	12	2	3	7	-17	-3.5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	14	10	2	2	+11	+0.1	32
2	Fenerbahce	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.4	29
3	Galatasaray	12	9	1	2	+17	+8.6	28
4	Besiktas	13	7	4	2	+9	+10.1	25
5	Buyuksehyr	13	7	1	5	+8	+4.1	22
6	Goztep	13	5	4	4	+1	+0.2	19
7	Samsunspor	13	4	5	4	+0	+0.8	17
8	Gaziantep	14	4	5	5	-5	-6.6	17
9	Rizespor	13	2	7	4	+0	-5.1	13
10	Antalyaspor	14	3	4	7	-5	-12.8	13
11	Kasimpasa	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.2	13
12	Alanyaspor	13	1	9	3	-4	-6.8	12
13	Konyaspor	13	3	3	7	-9	-6.5	12
14	Kocaelispor	13	3	3	7	-12	-7.8	12
15	Kayserispor	14	1	8	5	-11	-10.2	11
16	Eyüpspor	13	2	3	8	-11	-10.8	9
17	Genclerbirligi	13	1	3	9	-9	-14.1	6
18	Karagumruk	13	1	2	10	-15	-10.4	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.