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Ligue 2
Referee: T Leprodhomme
Boulogne
U S S U U
0–0
Full-time
Le Mans
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Le Mans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
31%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
45%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
2 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boulogne 12. · Le Mans 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 29 17 7 5 +21 58
2 St Etienne 29 16 6 7 +21 54
3 Le Mans 29 14 11 4 +16 53
4 Reims 30 12 12 6 +15 48
5 Red Star 28 12 9 7 +5 45
6 Rodez 29 11 12 6 +2 45
7 Montpellier 30 12 8 10 +8 44
8 Annecy 30 12 7 11 +2 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 9 10 -7 42
10 Dunkerque 29 10 10 9 +9 40
11 Guingamp 30 10 10 10 -3 40
12 Boulogne 29 9 8 12 -8 35
13 Grenoble 30 6 14 10 -7 32
14 Clermont 30 7 9 14 -7 30
15 Nancy 30 7 9 14 -16 30
16 Laval 30 4 13 13 -17 25
17 Amiens 30 6 6 18 -18 24
18 Bastia 28 3 12 13 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -25 Le Mans – Boulogne 1–0

Match report

Boulogne Le Mans
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 D. Gueye
↦ A. Rabillard
61′
🔁 W. Harhouz
↦ E. Colas
62′
🔁 A. Bourabaa
↦ E. Quarshie
67′
🔁 M. Robin
↦ A. Lauray
N. Fatar 🔁
↦ J. Boyer
70′
A. Platret 🔁
↦ A. El Farissi
78′
78′
🔁 A. Ribelin
↦ L. Calodat
J. Martin 🔁
↦ S. Duflos
79′
C. Fatou 🔁
↦ M. Lecolier
83′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Boulogne

4-1-4-1
99 B. Noukeu G
18 D. Thiam D
25 S. Gourville D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
14 J. Bultel M
10 A. El Farissi M
19 N. Binet M
22 S. Duflos M
3 V. Burlet M
9 M. Lecolier F
Bench (7)
16 I. Kone
23 N. Fatar
28 S. Paillard
90 J. Martin
17 C. Fatou
15 A. Pinot
21 A. Platret

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Le Mans

3-1-4-2
98 N. Kocik G
31 N. Boisse D
17 S. Yohou D
3 I. Cossier D
8 A. Lauray M
18 L. Buades M
29 L. Bretelle
6 E. Quarshie M
22 L. Calodat M
9 A. Rabillard F
28 E. Colas F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
12 A. Ribelin
25 D. Gueye
20 W. Harhouz
11 A. Bourabaa
5 H. Voyer
24 M. Robin

Coach: Patrick Videira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,27
U ✓
3,01
B
2,21
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Leprodhomme · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.