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Süper Lig

Referee: K Saglam

Fenerbahce

U S U S T

4–1

Full-time

Gaziantep

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Gaziantep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 47%

62%

31%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

58%

65%

Both score Ø 64%

65%

62%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,64 xG 1,50

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Gaziantep 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	26	20	4	2	+44	+28.9	64
2	Fenerbahce	26	16	9	1	+30	+26.0	57
3	Trabzonspor	26	17	6	3	+23	+7.0	57
4	Besiktas	26	14	7	5	+17	+23.4	49
5	Goztep	26	11	10	5	+10	+5.3	43
6	Buyuksehyr	26	12	6	8	+14	+3.2	42
7	Samsunspor	26	8	11	7	-2	+7.6	35
8	Kocaelispor	26	9	6	11	-4	-1.9	33
9	Gaziantep	26	8	9	9	-7	-2.1	33
10	Rizespor	26	7	9	10	-4	-0.1	30
11	Alanyaspor	26	5	13	8	-4	-8.6	28
12	Konyaspor	26	6	9	11	-9	-3.1	27
13	Genclerbirligi	26	6	7	13	-8	-12.8	25
14	Kasimpasa	26	5	9	12	-14	-11.2	24
15	Antalyaspor	26	6	6	14	-18	-20.7	24
16	Eyüpspor	26	5	7	14	-18	-15.1	22
17	Kayserispor	26	3	11	12	-28	-13.6	20
18	Karagumruk	26	4	5	17	-22	-12.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+27	+20.2	36
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	4	0	+15	+18.6	28
3	Trabzonspor	13	8	4	1	+13	+8.1	28
4	Goztep	13	6	6	1	+9	+5.1	24
5	Besiktas	13	7	3	3	+8	+13.2	24
6	Kocaelispor	14	6	3	5	+3	+5.5	21
7	Buyuksehyr	13	5	5	3	+6	-0.9	20
8	Genclerbirligi	13	5	4	4	+1	+1.3	19
9	Samsunspor	13	4	6	3	-2	+6.8	18
10	Rizespor	13	5	2	6	-4	+5.0	17
11	Alanyaspor	13	4	4	5	+0	-1.8	16
12	Gaziantep	13	4	4	5	-5	+3.4	16
13	Konyaspor	13	3	6	4	+0	+3.4	15
14	Eyüpspor	13	3	4	6	-7	-4.4	13
15	Karagumruk	13	3	3	7	-7	-1.6	12
16	Antalyaspor	13	3	3	7	-13	-8.2	12
17	Kasimpasa	13	2	5	6	-8	-0.9	11
18	Kayserispor	12	2	3	7	-17	-3.5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.4	29
2	Trabzonspor	13	9	2	2	+10	-1.1	29
3	Galatasaray	12	9	1	2	+17	+8.6	28
4	Besiktas	13	7	4	2	+9	+10.1	25
5	Buyuksehyr	13	7	1	5	+8	+4.1	22
6	Goztep	13	5	4	4	+1	+0.2	19
7	Samsunspor	13	4	5	4	+0	+0.8	17
8	Gaziantep	13	4	5	4	-2	-5.5	17
9	Rizespor	13	2	7	4	+0	-5.1	13
10	Kasimpasa	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.2	13
11	Alanyaspor	13	1	9	3	-4	-6.8	12
12	Antalyaspor	13	3	3	7	-5	-12.5	12
13	Kocaelispor	12	3	3	6	-7	-7.4	12
14	Konyaspor	13	3	3	7	-9	-6.5	12
15	Kayserispor	14	1	8	5	-11	-10.2	11
16	Eyüpspor	13	2	3	8	-11	-10.8	9
17	Genclerbirligi	13	1	3	9	-9	-14.1	6
18	Karagumruk	13	1	2	10	-15	-10.4	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.