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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Legia
U S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 35%
26%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
52%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,88 xG 0,44
43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 15. · Gornik Zabrze 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 27 12 9 6 +9 +20.3 45
2 Zaglebie 28 12 8 8 +9 -4.8 44
3 Jagiellonia 28 11 10 7 +9 -2.6 43
4 Gornik Zabrze 27 12 6 9 +7 -3.1 42
5 Lechia Gdansk 28 12 6 10 +4 +5.2 42
6 Wisla Plock 28 11 9 8 +3 -0.9 42
7 Rakow 27 11 6 10 +2 +7.6 39
8 GKS Katowice 27 12 3 12 +1 -7.2 39
9 Motor Lublin 27 9 11 7 -3 -6.3 38
10 Korona Kielce 28 10 7 11 +2 -3.2 37
11 Cracovia 27 9 9 9 +0 +1.8 36
12 Piast Gliwice 27 10 5 12 -2 -2.9 35
13 Radomiak Radom 28 8 10 10 +1 -0.9 34
14 Pogon Szczecin 27 10 4 13 -6 +6.9 34
15 Legia 27 7 12 8 +1 +1.9 33
16 Widzew Lodz 28 9 6 13 -2 +6.1 33
17 Arka Gdynia 27 9 6 12 -17 -7.6 33
18 Nieciecza 28 6 7 15 -18 -10.3 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Gornik Zabrze
Paweł Wszołek 🟨
26′
30′
🟨 Lukáš Sadílek
39′
🟨 Patrik Hellebrand
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Y. Ikia Dimi
↦ S. Liseth
Wojciech Urbański 🟨
61′
63′
🔁 J. Kubicki
↦ L. Ambros
Damian Szymański 🟨
67′
K. Urbanski 🔁
↦ W. Urbanski
67′
70′
🟨 Maksym Khlan
75′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ M. Khlan
Mileta Rajović 🟨
79′
Kacper Urbański ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
1–0 R. Augustyniak
82′
A. Reca 🔁
↦ P. Kun
85′
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ M. Rajovic
85′
A. Jedrzejczyk 🔁
↦ D. Szymanski
85′
85′
🔁 M. Rakoczy
↦ L. Sadilek
85′
🔁 K. Lukoszek
↦ E. Janza
90′
P. Bochniewicz 1–1
M. Rakoczy
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-3
89 O. Hindrich G
91 K. Piatkowski D
8 R. Augustyniak D
12 R. Pankov D
7 P. Wszolek M
22 J. Elitim M
44 D. Szymanski M
23 P. Kun M
53 W. Urbanski F
29 M. Rajovic F
9 R. Adamski F
Bench (9)
1 K. Tobiasz
67 B. Kapustka
13 A. Reca
77 E. Krasniqi
99 S. Kovacik
20 J. Zewlakow
55 A. Jedrzejczyk
18 J. Nsame
82 K. Urbanski

Coach: Marek Papszun

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-3
1 M. Lubik G
61 M. Sacek D
26 R. Janicki D
4 P. Bochniewicz D
64 E. Janza D
13 L. Sadilek M
8 P. Hellebrand M
18 L. Ambros M
33 M. Khlan F
23 S. Liseth F
67 O. Zmrzly F
Bench (12)
99 T. Loska
16 P. Olkowski
14 J. Kubicki
20 Josema
21 M. Sauer
28 B. Donio
15 R. Massimo
36 M. Rakoczy
5 K. Szczesniak
17 K. Lukoszek
7 Y. Ikia Dimi
77 B. Rupanov

Coach: Michal Gasparik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Kos · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.