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Süper Lig

Referee: M Turkmen

Karagumruk

S T U T U

2–0

Full-time

Fenerbahce

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 38%

12%

64%

Points per game

0,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

48%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

52%

68%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

0,9

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,50 xG 0,69

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 14

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 18. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	19	4	2	+41	+26.6	61
2	Fenerbahce	25	16	9	0	+32	+26.8	57
3	Trabzonspor	25	16	6	3	+22	+6.2	54
4	Besiktas	25	13	7	5	+15	+22.6	46
5	Buyuksehyr	25	12	6	7	+17	+5.5	42
6	Goztep	25	11	9	5	+10	+4.4	42
7	Kocaelispor	25	9	6	10	-3	-0.5	33
8	Samsunspor	25	7	11	7	-3	+6.2	32
9	Rizespor	25	7	9	9	-3	+0.7	30
10	Gaziantep	25	7	9	9	-10	-4.3	30
11	Alanyaspor	25	5	12	8	-4	-7.7	27
12	Genclerbirligi	25	6	7	12	-6	-12.1	25
13	Konyaspor	25	5	9	11	-10	-4.5	24
14	Antalyaspor	25	6	6	13	-15	-18.5	24
15	Eyüpspor	25	5	7	13	-17	-15.3	22
16	Kasimpasa	25	4	9	12	-15	-11.0	21
17	Kayserispor	25	3	11	11	-27	-12.3	20
18	Karagumruk	25	3	5	17	-24	-12.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	10	3	0	+24	+17.9	33
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	4	0	+15	+18.6	28
3	Trabzonspor	12	7	4	1	+12	+7.3	25
4	Besiktas	13	7	3	3	+8	+13.2	24
5	Goztep	12	6	5	1	+9	+4.1	23
6	Kocaelispor	13	6	3	4	+4	+6.9	21
7	Buyuksehyr	13	5	5	3	+6	-0.9	20
8	Genclerbirligi	12	5	4	3	+3	+2.0	19
9	Rizespor	13	5	2	6	-4	+5.0	17
10	Alanyaspor	13	4	4	5	+0	-1.8	16
11	Gaziantep	13	4	4	5	-5	+3.4	16
12	Konyaspor	13	3	6	4	+0	+3.4	15
13	Samsunspor	12	3	6	3	-3	+5.4	15
14	Eyüpspor	13	3	4	6	-7	-4.4	13
15	Antalyaspor	12	3	3	6	-10	-6.0	12
16	Karagumruk	12	2	3	7	-9	-2.4	9
17	Kayserispor	12	2	3	7	-17	-3.5	9
18	Kasimpasa	12	1	5	6	-9	-0.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	8	5	0	+17	+8.2	29
2	Trabzonspor	13	9	2	2	+10	-1.1	29
3	Galatasaray	12	9	1	2	+17	+8.6	28
4	Buyuksehyr	12	7	1	4	+11	+6.4	22
5	Besiktas	12	6	4	2	+7	+9.4	22
6	Goztep	13	5	4	4	+1	+0.2	19
7	Samsunspor	13	4	5	4	+0	+0.8	17
8	Gaziantep	12	3	5	4	-5	-7.7	14
9	Rizespor	12	2	7	3	+1	-4.3	13
10	Kasimpasa	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.2	13
11	Antalyaspor	13	3	3	7	-5	-12.5	12
12	Kocaelispor	12	3	3	6	-7	-7.4	12
13	Alanyaspor	12	1	8	3	-4	-5.9	11
14	Kayserispor	13	1	8	4	-10	-8.8	11
15	Konyaspor	12	2	3	7	-10	-7.9	9
16	Eyüpspor	12	2	3	7	-10	-10.9	9
17	Genclerbirligi	13	1	3	9	-9	-14.1	6
18	Karagumruk	13	1	2	10	-15	-10.4	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.