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Europa League
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Nott'm Forest
U T U S T
1–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,99 xG 1,76
54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 Fenerbahce – Nott'm Forest 0–3

Match report

Nott'm Forest Fenerbahce
22′
⚽ K. Akturkoglu 0–1
S. Cherif
Lorenzo Lucca 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
I. Sangare 🔁
↦ R. Yates
46′
C. Hudson-Odoi 🔁
↦ J. McAtee
46′
Igor Jesus 🔁
↦ L. Lucca
46′
O. Aina 🔁
↦ Murillo
46′
46′
🔁 N. Semedo
↦ D. Nene
48′
⚽ K. Akturkoglu 0–2
63′
🔁 M. Asensio
↦ O. Aydin
1–2 C. Hudson-Odoi ⚽
O. Aina
68′
76′
🔁 L. Mercan
↦ A. Brown
76′
🔁 A. Ekici
↦ S. Cherif
M. Gibbs-White 🔁
↦ N. Dominguez
84′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
27 S. Ortega G
3 N. Williams D
23 Cunha D
4 Morato D
5 Murillo D
22 R. Yates M
8 E. Anderson M
24 J. McAtee M
16 N. Dominguez M
21 O. Hutchinson M
20 L. Lucca F
Bench (11)
18 A. Gunn
67 K. Willows
6 I. Sangare
7 C. Hudson-Odoi
10 M. Gibbs-White
14 D. Ndoye
19 Igor Jesus
29 D. Bakwa
31 N. Milenkovic
34 O. Aina
44 Z. Abbott

Coach: Vitor Pereira

Fenerbahce

3-5-2
13 T. Cetin G
14 Y. E. Demir D
6 M. Guendouzi D
18 M. Muldur D
45 D. Nene M
70 O. Aydin M
17 N. Kante M
5 I. Yuksek M
3 A. Brown M
26 S. Cherif F
9 K. Akturkoglu F
Bench (7)
39 E. Biterge
92 H. Ceylan
21 M. Asensio
22 L. Mercan
27 N. Semedo
54 A. Ekici
67 K. Uregen

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.