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Süper Lig
Referee: A D Kayatepe
Antalyaspor
T U S U T
3–1
Full-time
Samsunspor
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
24%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
52%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,99 xG 1,99
35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 14. · Samsunspor 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 21 16 4 1 +36 +24.6 52
2 Fenerbahce 21 14 7 0 +30 +25.9 49
3 Trabzonspor 21 13 6 2 +18 +5.1 45
4 Goztep 21 11 7 3 +15 +1.6 40
5 Besiktas 21 10 7 4 +10 +20.3 37
6 Buyuksehyr 21 9 6 6 +14 +5.2 33
7 Samsunspor 21 7 9 5 +0 +5.1 30
8 Gaziantep 21 7 7 7 -6 -2.6 28
9 Kocaelispor 21 7 6 8 -4 -1.5 27
10 Alanyaspor 21 4 11 6 -2 -6.0 23
11 Genclerbirligi 21 6 4 11 -5 -10.1 22
12 Konyaspor 21 4 8 9 -9 -4.6 20
13 Rizespor 21 4 8 9 -9 -2.5 20
14 Antalyaspor 21 5 5 11 -15 -14.2 20
15 Eyüpspor 21 4 6 11 -13 -11.9 18
16 Kasimpasa 21 3 7 11 -13 -9.8 16
17 Kayserispor 21 2 9 10 -26 -12.9 15
18 Karagumruk 21 3 3 15 -21 -11.5 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Samsunspor
-5′
🟨 Zeki Yavru
1–0 S. Ballet
R. Safuri
6′
2–0 S. Ballet
D. Sinik
22′
Samuel Ballet 🟨
28′
28′
🟨 Soner Gönül
Half-time 2–0
N. Storm 🔁
↦ R. Safuri
51′
Doğukan Sinik 🟨
57′
60′
🔁 J. Assoumou
↦ Y. Kayan
S. Karakoc 🔁
↦ D. Sinik
61′
3–0 N. Storm
S. Karakoc
72′
75′
🔁 E. Tavsan
↦ Marius
E. Yesilyurt 🔁
↦ S. van de Streek
80′
B. Ozturk 🔁
↦ H. Turkmen
81′
82′
🔁 T. Borevkovic
↦ L. Satka
82′
🔁 Y. E. Cift
↦ C. Yuksel
Julián Cuesta 🟨
83′
Nikola Storm ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
90′
90′
O. Ntcham 3–1
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt 🟨
91′
Lautaro Giannetti 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,87
U
3,22
B
1,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A D Kayatepe · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.