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Süper Lig
Referee: F Tokail
Kocaelispor
S T U T S
3–0
Full-time
Gaziantep
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
29%
67%
Both score Ø 53%
43%
62%
Average goals
1,9
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,20 xG 0,65
60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
25 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kocaelispor 9. · Gaziantep 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 22 17 4 1 +40 +26.1 55
2 Fenerbahce 22 15 7 0 +31 +25.8 52
3 Trabzonspor 22 13 6 3 +17 +5.1 45
4 Goztep 21 11 7 3 +15 +1.6 40
5 Besiktas 21 10 7 4 +10 +20.3 37
6 Buyuksehyr 21 9 6 6 +14 +5.2 33
7 Samsunspor 22 7 9 6 -2 +6.1 30
8 Gaziantep 21 7 7 7 -6 -2.6 28
9 Kocaelispor 21 7 6 8 -4 -1.5 27
10 Alanyaspor 22 5 11 6 -1 -4.7 26
11 Genclerbirligi 22 6 5 11 -5 -10.6 23
12 Antalyaspor 22 6 5 11 -13 -15.2 23
13 Rizespor 22 4 9 9 -9 -2.0 21
14 Konyaspor 22 4 8 10 -10 -6.0 20
15 Eyüpspor 22 4 6 12 -17 -13.4 18
16 Kasimpasa 21 3 7 11 -13 -9.8 16
17 Kayserispor 21 2 9 10 -26 -12.9 15
18 Karagumruk 21 3 3 15 -21 -11.5 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kocaelispor Gaziantep
17′
🟨 Tayyip Talha Sanuç
1–0 D. Agyei
M. Haidara
36′
38′
🔁 K. Gassama
↦ D. Dragus
Half-time 1–0
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ B. Petkovic
46′
46′
🔁 K. Rodrigues
↦ D. Sorescu
47′
🟥 Nazım Sangaré
Bruno Petković 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Kacper Kozłowski
58′
🔁 M. Kabasakal
↦ O. Ozcicek
Ahmet Oğuz 🟨
70′
D. Churlinov 🔁
↦ T. Bingol
72′
R. Rivas 🔁
↦ D. Agyei
72′
Massadio Haïdara 🟨
75′
2–0 S. Dursun
D. Churlinov
76′
78′
🟨 Christophe Lungoyi
78′
🔁 M. Akmelek
↦ A. Maxim
S. Yalcin 🔁
↦ H. Keita
80′
3–0 R. Rivas
D. Churlinov
81′
M. Cinan 🔁
↦ M. Haidara
85′
90′
🟨 Muhammet Akmelek
94′
🟨 Arda Kızıldağ
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Kocaelispor

4-3-3
35 G. Degirmenci G
22 A. Oguz D
2 A. Dijksteel D
6 H. Smolcic D
21 M. Haidara D
8 H. Keita M
14 Show M
10 K. Linetty M
7 D. Agyei F
9 B. Petkovic F
75 T. Bingol F
Bench (10)
83 S. Oztasdelen
5 B. Balogh
3 M. Cinan
98 J. Nonge
23 S. Yalcin
17 D. Churlinov
19 S. Dursun
18 F. Gedik
70 C. Keles
99 R. Rivas

Coach: Selcuk Inan

Gaziantep

3-5-2
20 Z. Gorgen G
30 N. Sangare D
23 T. T. Sanuc D
4 A. Kizildag D
18 D. Sorescu M
10 K. Kozlowski M
61 O. Ozcicek M
44 A. Maxim M
11 C. Lungoyi M
9 M. Bayo F
70 D. Dragus F
Bench (10)
71 M. Bozan
14 M. Abena
2 L. Perez
77 K. Rodrigues
85 M. Akmelek
17 K. Gassama
8 V. Gidado
6 M. Kabasakal
32 Y. Kabadayi
26 A. O. Kalin

Coach: Mustafa Aksoy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,33
B
3,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.