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Süper Lig

Referee: Z Küçük

Gaziantep

T S T U S

3–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 27%

28%

25%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

50%

47%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

53%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,87 xG 0,29

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 12

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Gaziantep 16. · Karagumruk 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	36	32	3	1	+65	+47.0	99
2	Fenerbahce	36	29	6	1	+61	+58.5	93
3	Trabzonspor	36	19	4	13	+16	+2.0	61
4	Buyuksehyr	36	17	7	12	+11	+3.3	58
5	Besiktas	36	16	7	13	+6	+9.6	55
6	Kasimpasa	36	15	7	14	-4	-8.7	52
7	Sivasspor	37	13	12	12	-8	-7.2	51
8	Alanyaspor	36	12	14	10	+3	+7.3	50
9	Rizespor	36	14	7	15	-8	-6.4	49
10	Antalyaspor	37	12	12	13	-5	-7.4	48
11	Kayserispor	37	11	12	14	-12	-12.2	45
12	Ad. Demirspor	37	10	14	13	-3	-2.5	44
13	Samsunspor	36	11	9	16	-8	+5.5	42
14	Konyaspor	37	9	14	14	-11	-11.3	41
15	Ankaragücü	37	8	16	13	-4	-5.5	40
16	Gaziantep	36	10	8	18	-10	-13.9	38
17	Karagumruk	36	9	10	17	-3	-13.6	37
18	Hatayspor	36	8	13	15	-9	-6.4	37
19	Pendikspor	37	9	10	18	-30	-11.3	37
20	İstanbulspor	37	4	7	26	-47	-26.8	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	18	18	0	0	+37	+31.9	54
2	Fenerbahce	18	14	3	1	+33	+32.5	45
3	Rizespor	18	11	4	3	+13	+5.9	37
4	Trabzonspor	18	11	1	6	+11	+6.9	34
5	Samsunspor	18	10	4	4	+11	+8.5	34
6	Buyuksehyr	18	10	3	5	+12	+4.1	33
7	Besiktas	18	10	3	5	+10	+7.9	33
8	Antalyaspor	19	8	8	3	+4	-2.0	32
9	Ad. Demirspor	18	9	4	5	+7	+4.3	31
10	Alanyaspor	18	7	7	4	+6	+5.9	28
11	Kasimpasa	18	8	4	6	+0	-3.1	28
12	Karagumruk	18	7	6	5	+13	-1.1	27
13	Ankaragücü	19	6	9	4	+3	+0.9	27
14	Sivasspor	18	6	8	4	+3	+2.6	26
15	Kayserispor	19	6	8	5	+2	+1.3	26
16	Hatayspor	18	6	7	5	+2	-2.3	25
17	Konyaspor	18	6	5	7	+2	-0.1	23
18	Gaziantep	18	5	6	7	-5	-7.4	21
19	Pendikspor	18	6	3	9	-10	-4.0	21
20	İstanbulspor	19	2	3	14	-25	-16.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	18	15	3	0	+28	+26.0	48
2	Galatasaray	18	14	3	1	+28	+15.1	45
3	Trabzonspor	18	8	3	7	+5	-4.9	27
4	Buyuksehyr	18	7	4	7	-1	-0.8	25
5	Sivasspor	19	7	4	8	-11	-9.7	25
6	Kasimpasa	18	7	3	8	-4	-5.6	24
7	Alanyaspor	18	5	7	6	-3	+1.5	22
8	Besiktas	18	6	4	8	-4	+1.7	22
9	Kayserispor	18	5	4	9	-14	-13.6	19
10	Konyaspor	19	3	9	7	-13	-11.2	18
11	Gaziantep	18	5	2	11	-5	-6.5	17
12	Antalyaspor	18	4	4	10	-9	-5.4	16
13	Pendikspor	19	3	7	9	-20	-7.2	16
14	Ankaragücü	18	2	7	9	-7	-6.4	13
15	Ad. Demirspor	19	1	10	8	-10	-6.8	13
16	Hatayspor	18	2	6	10	-11	-4.1	12
17	Rizespor	18	3	3	12	-21	-12.2	12
18	Karagumruk	18	2	4	12	-16	-12.6	10
19	İstanbulspor	18	2	4	12	-22	-10.0	10
20	Samsunspor	18	1	5	12	-19	-3.0	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.