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Süper Lig

Referee: M Türkmen

Kayserispor

S T T S T

1–5

Full-time

Galatasaray

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

20%

87%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

60%

87%

Both score Ø 60%

47%

73%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,72 xG 2,33

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 20

6 Shots on target 11

4 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 7

4 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 16. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	13	2	0	+24	+16.1	41
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	3	2	+25	+17.6	36
3	Samsunspor	16	9	3	4	+12	+9.6	30
4	Eyüpspor	17	7	6	4	+7	-2.7	27
5	Besiktas	16	7	5	4	+7	+8.1	26
6	Goztep	15	7	4	4	+7	+5.1	25
7	Buyuksehyr	15	6	4	5	+4	+3.9	22
8	Gaziantep	16	6	3	7	-2	-3.7	21
9	Antalyaspor	16	6	3	7	-8	-9.1	21
10	Konyaspor	16	5	5	6	-5	-5.4	20
11	Rizespor	15	6	2	7	-6	+2.8	20
12	Kasimpasa	15	4	7	4	-1	+0.5	19
13	Sivasspor	17	5	4	8	-7	-13.1	19
14	Alanyaspor	16	4	6	6	-3	+0.5	18
15	Trabzonspor	15	3	7	5	+1	-0.7	16
16	Kayserispor	15	3	6	6	-12	-6.9	15
17	Bodrumspor	15	4	2	9	-9	-5.8	14
18	Hatayspor	15	1	6	8	-11	-8.0	9
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-23	-8.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	7	2	0	+12	+13.3	23
2	Goztep	7	6	1	0	+11	+4.3	19
3	Fenerbahce	7	6	0	1	+12	+9.4	18
4	Eyüpspor	8	5	2	1	+9	+1.6	17
5	Gaziantep	8	5	2	1	+8	+1.1	17
6	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+4	+5.7	16
7	Antalyaspor	8	5	1	2	+1	-2.5	16
8	Buyuksehyr	7	4	3	0	+11	+5.4	15
9	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
10	Trabzonspor	7	3	3	1	+6	+2.6	12
11	Alanyaspor	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.7	12
12	Sivasspor	9	3	3	3	+0	-5.5	12
13	Rizespor	8	3	2	3	-1	+3.4	11
14	Bodrumspor	8	3	1	4	+2	-0.8	10
15	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
16	Hatayspor	8	1	4	3	-3	-2.2	7
17	Kasimpasa	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.5	6
18	Kayserispor	7	1	3	3	-6	-2.7	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	8	1	0	7	-12	-2.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	5	3	1	+13	+8.2	18
2	Galatasaray	6	6	0	0	+12	+2.8	18
3	Samsunspor	8	5	1	2	+6	+3.4	16
4	Kasimpasa	7	3	4	0	+4	-0.0	13
5	Besiktas	8	2	4	2	+3	+2.5	10
6	Eyüpspor	9	2	4	3	-2	-4.3	10
7	Konyaspor	9	3	1	5	-6	-6.5	10
8	Rizespor	7	3	0	4	-5	-0.6	9
9	Kayserispor	8	2	3	3	-6	-4.2	9
10	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
11	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-7	-1.6	7
12	Goztep	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.7	6
13	Alanyaspor	8	1	3	4	-6	-2.2	6
14	Antalyaspor	8	1	2	5	-9	-6.6	5
15	Trabzonspor	8	0	4	4	-5	-3.4	4
16	Gaziantep	8	1	1	6	-10	-4.8	4
17	Bodrumspor	7	1	1	5	-11	-5.0	4
18	Hatayspor	7	0	2	5	-8	-5.8	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	2	5	-11	-6.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.