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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Galatasaray

S U U S U

4–3

Full-time

Trabzonspor

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Trabzonspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 54%

86%

21%

Points per game

2,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

86%

57%

Both score Ø 68%

71%

64%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,55 xG 1,37

58% Possession 42%

22 Shots 16

11 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

10 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Trabzonspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	12	2	0	+23	+14.9	38
2	Fenerbahce	15	11	2	2	+25	+17.6	35
3	Samsunspor	15	9	2	4	+12	+8.6	29
4	Eyüpspor	16	7	5	4	+7	-2.8	26
5	Goztep	15	7	4	4	+7	+5.1	25
6	Besiktas	15	7	4	4	+7	+7.4	25
7	Buyuksehyr	15	6	4	5	+4	+3.9	22
8	Antalyaspor	15	6	3	6	-6	-8.5	21
9	Konyaspor	16	5	5	6	-5	-5.4	20
10	Rizespor	15	6	2	7	-6	+2.8	20
11	Kasimpasa	15	4	7	4	-1	+0.5	19
12	Gaziantep	15	5	3	7	-4	-4.3	18
13	Sivasspor	16	5	3	8	-7	-12.1	18
14	Alanyaspor	15	4	5	6	-3	+1.2	17
15	Trabzonspor	14	3	7	4	+2	+0.4	16
16	Kayserispor	15	3	6	6	-12	-6.9	15
17	Bodrumspor	15	4	2	9	-9	-5.8	14
18	Hatayspor	15	1	6	8	-11	-8.0	9
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-23	-8.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	2	0	+11	+12.1	20
2	Goztep	7	6	1	0	+11	+4.3	19
3	Fenerbahce	7	6	0	1	+12	+9.4	18
4	Eyüpspor	7	5	1	1	+9	+1.6	16
5	Antalyaspor	8	5	1	2	+1	-2.5	16
6	Buyuksehyr	7	4	3	0	+11	+5.4	15
7	Besiktas	7	5	0	2	+4	+4.9	15
8	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
9	Gaziantep	7	4	2	1	+6	+0.5	14
10	Trabzonspor	7	3	3	1	+6	+2.6	12
11	Alanyaspor	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.7	12
12	Sivasspor	8	3	2	3	+0	-4.6	11
13	Rizespor	8	3	2	3	-1	+3.4	11
14	Bodrumspor	8	3	1	4	+2	-0.8	10
15	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
16	Hatayspor	8	1	4	3	-3	-2.2	7
17	Kasimpasa	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.5	6
18	Kayserispor	7	1	3	3	-6	-2.7	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	8	1	0	7	-12	-2.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	6	0	0	+12	+2.8	18
2	Fenerbahce	8	5	2	1	+13	+8.2	17
3	Samsunspor	7	5	0	2	+6	+2.4	15
4	Kasimpasa	7	3	4	0	+4	-0.0	13
5	Besiktas	8	2	4	2	+3	+2.5	10
6	Eyüpspor	9	2	4	3	-2	-4.3	10
7	Konyaspor	9	3	1	5	-6	-6.5	10
8	Rizespor	7	3	0	4	-5	-0.6	9
9	Kayserispor	8	2	3	3	-6	-4.2	9
10	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
11	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-7	-1.6	7
12	Goztep	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.7	6
13	Alanyaspor	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.5	5
14	Antalyaspor	7	1	2	4	-7	-6.0	5
15	Trabzonspor	7	0	4	3	-4	-2.2	4
16	Gaziantep	8	1	1	6	-10	-4.8	4
17	Bodrumspor	7	1	1	5	-11	-5.0	4
18	Hatayspor	7	0	2	5	-8	-5.8	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	2	5	-11	-6.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.