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Süper Lig
Referee: H Özkahya
Alanyaspor
S S S
3–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,7
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,0
This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,7
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 1. · Fenerbahce 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Rizespor 4 2 2 0 +2 8
3 Fenerbahce 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Denizlispor 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Gaziantep 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 2 0 2 +5 6
8 Trabzonspor 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Konyaspor 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Sivasspor 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Antalyaspor 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Ankaragücü 4 1 2 1 -3 5
13 Besiktas 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Buyuksehyr 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Kayserispor 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Goztep 4 0 2 2 -4 2
17 Genclerbirligi 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Kasimpasa 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce
Ceyhun Gülselam 🟨
22′
Djalma 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
24′
39′
⚽ T. Ciğerci 0–1
M. Kruse
Half-time 1–1
1–1 P. Cissé ⚽
A. Bakasetas
46′
2–1 P. Cissé ⚽
A. Bakasetas
48′
3–1 J. Fernándes ⚽
62′
65′
🟨 Nabil Dirar
68′
🔁 F. Kadıoğlu
↦ M. Jørgensen
68′
🔁 A. Potuk
↦ D. Türüç
Y. Bammou 🔁
↦ J. Fernándes
69′
S. Uçan 🔁
↦ C. Gülselam
80′
84′
🔁 M. Erdinç
↦ Garry Rodrigues
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
44 S. Caulker D
24 Juanfran D
7 E. Karaca M
6 C. Gülselam M
26 E. Siopis M
10 J. Fernándes M
9 P. Cissé F
11 A. Bakasetas M
Bench (10)
30 Djalma
99 Y. Bammou
8 S. Uçan
31 G. Tzavellas
34 E. Birniçan
17 K. Kanak
25 O. Bulut
27 U. Güneş
35 M. Çağıran
75 T. Bingöl

Coach: E. Bulut

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
98 A. Bayındır G
32 M. Jørgensen D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
17 N. Dirar D
14 T. Ciğerci M
24 Garry Rodrigues M
23 D. Türüç M
7 O. Tufan D
25 Jaílson D
10 M. Kruse M
94 V. Muriqi F
Bench (10)
16 F. Kadıoğlu
26 A. Potuk
9 M. Erdinç
15 S. Aziz
34 A. Rami
21 M. Zajc
6 T. Arslan
35 H. Tekin
28 M. Sağlam
18 S. Çiftpınar

Coach: E. Yanal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
🔒
U
3,45
🔒
B
2,40
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
U2,5
2,08
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Özkahya · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.