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Süper Lig
Referee: A Bitigen
Hatayspor
T S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

66% Possession 34%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 4. · Fenerbahce 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Altay 7 5 0 2 +5 15
2 Besiktas 7 4 2 1 +7 14
3 Trabzonspor 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Hatayspor 6 4 1 1 +9 13
5 Fenerbahce 6 4 1 1 +4 13
6 Konyaspor 6 3 3 0 +4 12
7 Alanyaspor 6 4 0 2 -3 12
8 Kayserispor 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Karagumruk 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Sivasspor 7 2 3 2 +3 9
11 Ad. Demirspor 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 Galatasaray 6 2 2 2 -1 8
13 Antalyaspor 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 7 2 0 5 -7 6
16 Goztep 6 1 2 3 -3 5
17 Kasimpasa 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Buyuksehyr 6 1 0 5 -3 3
19 Giresunspor 7 0 2 5 -7 2
20 Rizespor 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Fenerbahce
17′
D. Rossi 0–1
E. Valencia
29′
F. Novák 0–2
E. Valencia
44′
🟨 Mert Hakan Yandaş
Half-time 0–2
61′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ E. Valencia
61′
🔁 Miguel Crespo
↦ M. Yandaş
E. Çolak 🔁
↦ M. Boudjemaa
63′
D. Saint-Louis 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
63′
1–2 D. Saint-Louis
K. Çörekçi
70′
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
71′
76′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ M. Berisha
Mame Biram Diouf 🟨
78′
Mohammed Kesselly Kamara 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 M. Özil
↦ M. Gümüşkaya
86′
🔁 D. Pelkas
↦ D. Rossi
B. Cevahir 🔁
↦ S. Adekugbe
89′
M. Mert 🔁
↦ N. Traoré
89′
91′
🟨 Filip Novák
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
17 N. Traoré M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
10 E. Çolak
95 D. Saint-Louis
20 M. Kamara
61 B. Cevahir
19 M. Mert
77 S. Baş
31 A. Yiğiter
2 B. Çamoglu
87 E. Fansa
6 S. Falette

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Fenerbahce

3-4-2-1
1 A. Bayındır G
37 F. Novák D
41 Attila Szalai D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
8 M. Yandaş M
16 F. Kadıoğlu M
23 M. Gümüşkaya M
13 E. Valencia F
11 M. Berisha F
9 D. Rossi F
Bench (10)
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
27 Miguel Crespo
19 S. Dursun
10 M. Özil
14 D. Pelkas
77 B. Kapacak
35 B. Özer
6 M. Meyer
22 R. Aksoy
80 F. Şanlitürk

Coach: Vítor Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,02
U
3,43
B ✓
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.