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Championship

Referee: Andrew Kitchen

Cardiff

S S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Wrexham

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Wrexham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,90 xG 1,43

67% Possession 33%

11 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 9

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
5	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
7	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
8	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
9	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
10	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
11	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
13	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
14	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
15	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
16	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
17	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
18	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
19	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
20	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
21	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0
22	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
2	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
3	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
4	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
6	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
8	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
9	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
10	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0
11	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
4	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
6	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
9	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
10	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
11	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.