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League Cup

Referee: M Coy

Bradford

S S T T S

0–0

Full-time

Burnley

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bradford Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 1,87

32% Possession 68%

16 Shots 23

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 14

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bradford 22. · Burnley 37. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	West Ham	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
2	Peterborough	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
3	Wolves	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
4	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.2	6
5	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
6	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
7	Sheffield United	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
8	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
9	Reading	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
10	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
11	Leyton Orient	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
12	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
13	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
14	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
15	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.5	3
16	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
17	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
18	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
19	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
20	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
21	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
22	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
23	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
24	Crewe	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
25	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
26	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
27	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
28	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
29	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
30	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
31	Leicester	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
32	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
33	Stevenage	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.3	3
34	Watford	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
35	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	3
36	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
37	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
38	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
39	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
40	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
41	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
42	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
43	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
44	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
45	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
46	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
47	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
48	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
49	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
50	Doncaster	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
51	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
52	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
53	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
54	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
55	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
56	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
57	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
58	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
59	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
60	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
61	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
62	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
63	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
64	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
65	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
66	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
67	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
68	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
69	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
70	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
71	York	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
72	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
73	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
74	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
75	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
76	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
77	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
78	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.2	6
2	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
3	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
5	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
6	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
8	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
9	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
10	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
12	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
13	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
14	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
15	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
16	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
17	Watford	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
18	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
19	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
20	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
21	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
22	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
23	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
24	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
25	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
26	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
27	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
28	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
29	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
30	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
31	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
32	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
33	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
34	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
35	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
36	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
37	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
38	York	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
39	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
40	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
41	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
42	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
43	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
44	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
45	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
46	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Peterborough	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
2	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
3	Sheffield United	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
4	Reading	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
5	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
6	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.5	3
7	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
8	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
9	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
10	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
12	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
13	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
14	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
15	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
16	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
17	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
18	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
19	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
20	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
21	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
22	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
23	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
24	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
25	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
26	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
27	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
28	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
29	Leyton Orient	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
30	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
31	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
32	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
33	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
34	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
35	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
36	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
37	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
38	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
39	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
41	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
42	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
43	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
44	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
45	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
46	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.