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Premier League
Referee: Simon Hooper
3–0
Full-time
Burnley
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,7
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 9. · Burnley 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 10 9 1 0 +15 28
2 Man City 10 7 1 2 +23 22
3 Leicester 10 6 2 2 +17 20
4 Chelsea 10 6 2 2 +7 20
5 Arsenal 10 4 4 2 +1 16
6 Bournemouth 11 4 4 3 +1 16
7 Crystal Palace 10 4 3 3 -2 15
8 Man United 11 3 4 4 +2 13
9 Sheffield United 10 3 4 3 +1 13
10 West Ham 10 3 4 3 -2 13
11 Tottenham 10 3 3 4 +1 12
12 Wolves 10 2 6 2 +0 12
13 Burnley 10 3 3 4 -1 12
14 Brighton 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Aston Villa 10 3 2 5 -1 11
16 Everton 10 3 1 6 -6 10
17 Newcastle 10 2 3 5 -9 9
18 Southampton 10 2 2 6 -16 8
19 Norwich 10 2 1 7 -13 7
20 Watford 10 0 5 5 -16 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Burnley
1–0 J. Lundstram
L. Mousset
17′
34′
🟨 James Tarkowski
2–0 J. Lundstram
L. Mousset
43′
3–0 J. Fleck
L. Mousset
44′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 C. Taylor
↦ E. Pieters
59′
🔁 R. Brady
↦ D. McNeil
B. Sharp 🔁
↦ L. Mousset
65′
68′
🟨 Ashley Barnes
O. McBurnie 🔁
↦ D. McGoldrick
75′
78′
🔁 M. Vydra
↦ J. Rodriguez
P. Jagielka 🔁
↦ J. Egan
79′
Chris Basham 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-5-2
1 D. Henderson G
6 C. Basham D
3 E. Stevens M
2 G. Baldock M
12 J. Egan D
5 J. O'Connell D
4 J. Fleck M
16 O. Norwood M
7 J. Lundstram M
17 D. McGoldrick F
22 L. Mousset F
Bench (7)
10 B. Sharp
9 O. McBurnie
15 P. Jagielka
11 C. Robinson
27 M. Bešić
25 S. Moore
8 L. Freeman

Coach: C. Wilder

Burnley

4-4-2
1 N. Pope G
23 E. Pieters D
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
4 J. Cork M
18 A. Westwood M
13 J. Hendrick M
19 J. Rodriguez F
10 A. Barnes F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (7)
3 C. Taylor
12 R. Brady
27 M. Vydra
26 P. Bardsley
20 J. Hart
14 B. Gibson
25 A. Lennon

Coach: S. Dyche

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,22
B
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,33
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.