Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lillestrom
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Molde
|
30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 3 |
Rosenborg
|
30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | +12 | 52 |
| 4 |
Odd
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +5 | 52 |
| 5 |
Viking
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +13 | 47 |
| 6 |
Kristiansund
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +0 | 41 |
| 7 |
Haugesund
|
30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | +7 | 40 |
| 8 |
Stabaek
|
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | +2 | 40 |
| 9 |
Brann
|
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 40 |
| 10 |
Valerenga
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 |
Stromsgodset
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -13 | 32 |
| 12 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
30 | 5 | 15 | 10 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 |
Mjondalen
|
30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -14 | 30 |
| 14 |
Lillestrom
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 |
Tromso
|
30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -19 | 30 |
| 16 |
Ranheim
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 27 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08
Ranheim
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Stabaek
Viking
Lillestrom
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.