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Super League

Referee: B Madden

Aris Thessalonikis

S S T T S

3–2

Full-time

AEK

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Super League · 34/38 matches

Win Ø 46%

47%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

29%

61%

Both score Ø 42%

26%

58%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

5 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · AEK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	38	27	7	4	+37	88
2	Panathinaikos	38	19	8	11	+26	65
3	PAOK	38	18	7	13	+20	61
4	AEK	38	17	8	13	+14	59
5	Aris	35	17	8	10	+8	59
6	Aris Thessalonikis	34	16	8	10	+7	56
7	Giannina	37	14	11	12	+6	53
8	OFI Crete	35	11	13	11	-5	46
9	Ionikos	34	12	9	13	+0	45
10	Volos NFC	35	11	10	14	+0	43
11	Asteras Tripolis	34	11	7	16	-7	40
12	Panetolikos	34	10	7	17	-20	37
13	Atromitos	34	8	8	18	-24	32
14	Lamia	34	6	8	20	-21	26
15	Apollon	34	4	11	19	-41	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	15	3	1	+22	48
2	Panathinaikos	19	14	3	2	+27	45
3	Aris	18	9	6	3	+6	33
4	AEK	19	10	2	7	+12	32
5	Giannina	18	9	5	4	+7	32
6	PAOK	19	9	4	6	+9	31
7	Aris Thessalonikis	17	8	6	3	+5	30
8	Volos NFC	18	7	3	8	+2	24
9	OFI Crete	18	6	6	6	-1	24
10	Ionikos	16	6	5	5	+5	23
11	Asteras Tripolis	17	7	2	8	-1	23
12	Atromitos	17	6	3	8	-4	21
13	Panetolikos	18	4	5	9	-8	17
14	Apollon	17	2	9	6	-11	15
15	Lamia	16	2	3	11	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	12	4	3	+15	40
2	PAOK	19	9	3	7	+11	30
3	AEK	19	7	6	6	+2	27
4	Aris Thessalonikis	17	8	2	7	+2	26
5	Aris	17	8	2	7	+2	26
6	OFI Crete	17	5	7	5	-4	22
7	Ionikos	18	6	4	8	-5	22
8	Giannina	19	5	6	8	-1	21
9	Panathinaikos	19	5	5	9	-1	20
10	Panetolikos	16	6	2	8	-12	20
11	Volos NFC	17	4	7	6	-2	19
12	Asteras Tripolis	17	4	5	8	-6	17
13	Lamia	18	4	5	9	-8	17
14	Atromitos	17	2	5	10	-20	11
15	Apollon	17	2	2	13	-30	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.