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Super League

Referee: G Kabakov

Panathinaikos

T U S S S

2–1

Full-time

AEK

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 2. · AEK 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panetolikos	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Olympiakos	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	PAOK	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Atromitos	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Aris	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	AEK	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Volos NFC	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Giannina	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	OFI Crete	4	1	0	3	-4	3
13	Lamia	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Ionikos	4	0	1	3	-6	1
15	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Aris	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Atromitos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Giannina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	AEK	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Volos NFC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Ionikos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Lamia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	OFI Crete	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Volos NFC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Panetolikos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
3	AEK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Atromitos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Aris	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	OFI Crete	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	PAOK	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lamia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Olympiakos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-8	1
13	Aris Thessalonikis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Ionikos	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Giannina	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.