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Puchar Polski
Stal Mielec
U T S U U
1–2
Full-time
Puszcza
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Puszcza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
5,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
3,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Świt Skolwin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Hutnik Kraków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
22 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Stal Mielec

41 P. Chrapusta
18 P. Wlazlo
44 I. Puerto
3 P. Kowalik
17 D. Mazurek
8 N. Niedzwiedz
23 K. Sommerfeld
20 B. Szeliga
10 M. Domanski
32 F. Gerbowski
9 M. Losada
Bench (8)
13 K. Jalocha
11 K. Odolak
90 P. Kruszelnicki
6 J. Pisek
15 M. Senger
27 A. Diez
16 N. Szady
19 M. Yanchuk

Coach: Ireneusz Mamrot

Puszcza

97 W. Kowal
5 K. Stepien
7 M. Stepien
9 K. Smiglewski
11 O. Korczakowski
13 R. Kanach
19 J. Stec
21 A. Basse
23 K. Przybylko
27 L. Solowiej
67 N. Barczak
Bench (9)
31 M. Perchel
2 K. Kasolik
10 M. Cholewiak
16 M. Walski
28 I. Pieprzyca
34 A. Piekarski
A. Sendor
88 F. Nascimento
22 Kikis

Coach: Tomasz Tulacz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.