Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Widzew Lodz
Puszcza
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | +36 | +13.3 | 67 |
| 2 |
Rakow
|
33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | +27 | +11.7 | 66 |
| 3 |
Jagiellonia
|
33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +14 | +4.1 | 60 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +19 | +17.4 | 57 |
| 5 |
Legia
|
33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | +15 | +13.3 | 53 |
| 6 |
Cracovia
|
33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +4 | -4.4 | 48 |
| 7 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | +4 | +4.9 | 46 |
| 8 |
GKS Katowice
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | +1 | -3.5 | 46 |
| 9 |
Motor Lublin
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -12 | -2.9 | 46 |
| 10 |
Piast Gliwice
|
33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | +2 | -1.4 | 45 |
| 11 |
Korona Kielce
|
33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | -8 | -2.1 | 44 |
| 12 |
Radomiak Radom
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -3 | -0.8 | 41 |
| 13 |
Widzew Lodz
|
32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | -12 | -7.0 | 37 |
| 14 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | -14 | -16.3 | 37 |
| 15 |
Zaglebie
|
33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -17 | -7.8 | 36 |
| 16 |
Stal Mielec
|
33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -17 | +0.4 | 30 |
| 17 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | -0.7 | 29 |
| 18 |
Puszcza
|
32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -24 | -18.2 | 27 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Krajewski
D
M. Żyro
D
P. Therkildsen
D
J. Shehu
M
K. Cybulski
M
Fran Álvarez
F
Coach: Ž. Sopić
R. Yakuba
D
Coach: T. Tułacz
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Widzew Lodz
Legia
Zaglebie
Widzew Lodz
Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Lodz
Widzew Lodz
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Widzew Lodz
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.