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Ekstraklasa
Referee: G Kawałko
Widzew Lodz
T T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Puszcza
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Puszcza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,2
5,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
3,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
19%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
44%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,44 xG 0,76
48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 13. · Puszcza 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 33 21 4 8 +36 +13.3 67
2 Rakow 33 19 9 5 +27 +11.7 66
3 Jagiellonia 33 17 9 7 +14 +4.1 60
4 Pogon Szczecin 33 17 6 10 +19 +17.4 57
5 Legia 33 15 8 10 +15 +13.3 53
6 Cracovia 33 13 9 11 +4 -4.4 48
7 Gornik Zabrze 33 13 7 13 +4 +4.9 46
8 GKS Katowice 33 13 7 13 +1 -3.5 46
9 Motor Lublin 33 13 7 13 -12 -2.9 46
10 Piast Gliwice 33 11 12 10 +2 -1.4 45
11 Korona Kielce 33 11 11 11 -8 -2.1 44
12 Radomiak Radom 33 11 8 14 -3 -0.8 41
13 Widzew Lodz 32 10 7 15 -12 -7.0 37
14 Lechia Gdansk 33 10 7 16 -14 -16.3 37
15 Zaglebie 33 10 6 17 -17 -7.8 36
16 Stal Mielec 33 7 9 17 -17 +0.4 30
17 Slask Wroclaw 33 6 11 16 -15 -0.7 29
18 Puszcza 32 6 9 17 -24 -18.2 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

4-1-3-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
91 M. Krajewski D
4 M. Żyro D
15 Juan Ibiza D
16 P. Therkildsen D
25 M. Hanousek M
55 S. Czyż M
6 J. Shehu M
78 K. Cybulski M
10 Fran Álvarez F
29 Ľ. Tupta F
Bench (9)
77 J. Sypek
3 S. Kozlovský
44 N. Diliberto
17 H. Sobol
21 P. Kwiatkowski
33 J. Krzywanski
7 J. Łukowski
62 L. Kastrati
92 Fábio Nunes

Coach: Ž. Sopić

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
1 K. Komar G
67 I. Revenco D
22 A. Crăciun D
27 Ł. Sołowiej D
3 R. Yakuba D
14 J. Serafin M
19 J. Stec M
12 M. Stępień M
24 J. Blagaić M
7 A. Klimek M
63 G. Barkovskiy F
Bench (9)
5 K. Stępień
8 P. Mroziński
17 M. Radecki
35 M. Kosidis
11 M. Cholewiak
4 D. Szymonowicz
18 M. Sipľak
31 M. Perchel
28 I. Pieprzyca

Coach: T. Tułacz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.