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Svenska Cupen
Degerfors
U T S U S
3–0
Full-time
Trelleborg
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Trelleborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Degerfors 33. · Trelleborg 31.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sirius 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 IF Karlstad 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Norrkoping 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Hammarby 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Brommapojkarna 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Falkenbergs FF 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Mjallby 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Vasteras SK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 IFK Skövde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
11 Oster 2 1 1 0 +4 4
12 Goteborg 2 1 1 0 +4 4
13 Varnamo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Orebro SK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Orgryte 2 1 1 0 +1 4
16 Täby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 AIK 2 1 0 1 +5 3
18 Oddevold 2 1 0 1 +5 3
19 Karlberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
20 Kalmar 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Halmstad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Lund 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 GAIS 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Landskrona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Onsala 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 Enköping 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Djurgarden 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Trelleborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Degerfors 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Varberg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Assyriska FF 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Helsingborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Malmo FF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Elfsborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Zenith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Haninge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Sölvesborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Öckerö 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Lödde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 IK brage 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Syrianska FC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Myresjö / Vetlanda 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Torstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Viggbyholms IK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Korsnäs 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Räppe 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 Sylvia 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Qviding FIF 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Sundsvall 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Nässjö 2 1 0 1 -5 3
58 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 -5 3
59 Ostersunds FK 2 0 2 0 +0 2
60 Friska Viljor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Högaborg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Torslanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vänersborgs FK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Centern 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Hudiksvall 2 0 1 1 -7 1
66 Rosengård 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Utsikten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Gute 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Gimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Ursvik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Hjulsbro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Farsta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Stenungsund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Gefle IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Kristianstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Karlslund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Berga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Trollhättan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Arameiska / Syrianska 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Västboås 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Dvärsätt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Jönköping Torpa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Eslov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 IFK Tidaholm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Franke 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Viken 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Stocksund 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Degerfors Trelleborg
5′
🟨 A. Asani
1–0 N. Girmai
10′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Rafferty
59′
63′
🔁 J. Christiansen
↦ I. Ellbring
63′
🔁 V. Karlsson
↦ E. Jaf
3–0 D. Vukojevic
63′
64′
🔁 A. Rehn
↦ J. Brannefalk
Z. Salifu 🔁
↦ E. Barsoum
67′
D. Sundgren 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 V. Poppler
A. Berisson 🔁
↦ M. Rafferty
78′
78′
🔁 E. Lofberg
↦ O. Ruuska
78′
🔁 J. Kack
↦ V. Poppler
81′
🟨 A. Asani
81′
🟥 A. Asani
81′
🟨
87′
🟨
S. Ohlsson 🟨
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Degerfors

38 M. Igonen
6 D. Sundgren
7 S. Ohlsson
28 J. Hernandez
16 S. Ohlsson
8 N. Girmai
13 G. Yiriyon Yaw
19 B. Hussein
10 M. Rafferty
11 D. Vukojevic
20 E. Barsoum
Bench (7)
25 R. Forsell
12 E. Lindell
27 Z. Salifu
31 A. Berisson
30 V. Tigerholm
32 L. Robertson
24 O. Leonardsson

Coach: William Lundin

Trelleborg

1 M. Pahlsson
2 J. Brannefalk
3 O. Sverrisson
8 O. Ruuska
9 E. Jaf
12 P. Balde
16 A. Asani
17 I. Ellbring
21 O. Gabrielsson
23 V. Poppler
38 J. Modig
Bench (7)
30 N. Arvidsson
4 A. Rehn
7 J. Christiansen
25 E. Lofberg
26 J. Kack
35 V. Karlsson
42 K. Rowland

Coach: Kristian Haynes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.