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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

Elfsborg

S S U S T

1–0

Full-time

Sirius

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 48%

71%

24%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 50%

47%

53%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,4

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,19 xG 0,81

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

0 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 1. · Sirius 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	17	12	3	2	+26	+6.0	39
2	Hacken	18	12	2	4	+25	-1.0	38
3	Malmo FF	17	12	2	3	+23	+0.4	38
4	Djurgarden	18	10	3	5	+4	-1.6	33
5	Norrkoping	17	7	4	6	+3	+5.0	25
6	Hammarby	18	7	4	7	-3	+0.7	25
7	Kalmar	17	7	4	6	-3	-0.2	25
8	Halmstad	17	7	4	6	-8	-1.0	25
9	Mjallby	17	6	4	7	-3	-4.4	22
10	Varnamo	18	7	1	10	-4	+1.1	22
11	Brommapojkarna	18	7	1	10	-8	+0.4	22
12	AIK	17	4	5	8	-5	-2.7	17
13	Sirius	17	4	5	8	-6	+1.2	17
14	Degerfors	18	5	2	11	-23	-2.1	17
15	Goteborg	17	2	7	8	-4	-1.9	13
16	Varberg	17	2	5	10	-14	-0.0	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	8	1	1	+9	-1.6	25
2	Hacken	9	8	0	1	+20	-0.8	24
3	Malmo FF	9	7	1	1	+17	+0.3	22
4	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+7	+0.9	19
5	Elfsborg	8	5	2	1	+15	+1.0	17
6	Kalmar	8	5	1	2	+1	+0.1	16
7	Degerfors	10	4	2	4	-2	-0.3	14
8	Halmstad	9	3	3	3	-4	-0.5	12
9	Norrkoping	8	3	2	3	+0	+2.3	11
10	Brommapojkarna	9	3	1	5	-3	-0.4	10
11	Goteborg	9	2	3	4	+4	-0.9	9
12	Mjallby	9	2	3	4	+0	-3.3	9
13	Varnamo	8	3	0	5	-2	+0.2	9
14	AIK	8	1	4	3	-3	-1.0	7
15	Sirius	9	2	1	6	-4	+1.5	7
16	Varberg	8	0	3	5	-12	+0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	9	7	1	1	+11	+5.0	22
2	Malmo FF	8	5	1	2	+6	+0.1	16
3	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+5	-0.2	14
4	Norrkoping	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.7	14
5	Varnamo	10	4	1	5	-2	+1.0	13
6	Mjallby	8	4	1	3	-3	-1.2	13
7	Halmstad	8	4	1	3	-4	-0.5	13
8	Brommapojkarna	9	4	0	5	-5	+0.8	12
9	Sirius	8	2	4	2	-2	-0.2	10
10	AIK	9	3	1	5	-2	-1.7	10
11	Kalmar	9	2	3	4	-4	-0.3	9
12	Varberg	9	2	2	5	-2	-0.7	8
13	Djurgarden	8	2	2	4	-5	-0.0	8
14	Hammarby	10	1	3	6	-10	-0.2	6
15	Goteborg	8	0	4	4	-8	-1.0	4
16	Degerfors	8	1	0	7	-21	-1.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.